Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding lead in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran. Fry’s fundraising advantage, exceeding $1.5 million compared to Vincent’s roughly $235,000, combined with the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Republican win on November 3. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a broad national Democratic midterm surge, late scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout overcoming the district’s structural lean.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSC-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
SC-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$36,963 Vol.
$36,963 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
96%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$36,963 Vol.
$36,963 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$21,328 Vol.
96%
Partido Demócrata
$15,635 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding lead in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran. Fry’s fundraising advantage, exceeding $1.5 million compared to Vincent’s roughly $235,000, combined with the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Republican win on November 3. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a broad national Democratic midterm surge, late scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout overcoming the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$36,963Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding lead in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran. Fry’s fundraising advantage, exceeding $1.5 million compared to Vincent’s roughly $235,000, combined with the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Republican win on November 3. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a broad national Democratic midterm surge, late scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout overcoming the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$36,963Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Russell Fry holds a commanding lead in South Carolina’s 7th congressional district, an R+12 seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters. Both parties’ June primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified, leaving Fry to face Democrat John Vincent, a Navy veteran. Fry’s fundraising advantage, exceeding $1.5 million compared to Vincent’s roughly $235,000, combined with the district’s consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the 95.5% trader consensus for a Republican win on November 3. A Republican hold remains the baseline outcome. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include a broad national Democratic midterm surge, late scandals involving the incumbent, or unusually elevated Democratic turnout overcoming the district’s structural lean.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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