The Republican nominee holds an 88% implied probability in the SC-04 House race because the Upstate South Carolina district has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, and incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican based on its voting history and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. The Democratic nominee, Courtney McClain, advanced without opposition, but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have prevailed by double digits. Traders' consensus aligns with this partisan baseline and the absence of any late-cycle developments that would shift the balance ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSC-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
SC-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,526 Vol.
$12,526 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
88%
Partido Demócrata
11%
$12,526 Vol.
$12,526 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$10,244 Vol.
88%
Partido Demócrata
$2,282 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds an 88% implied probability in the SC-04 House race because the Upstate South Carolina district has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, and incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican based on its voting history and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. The Democratic nominee, Courtney McClain, advanced without opposition, but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have prevailed by double digits. Traders' consensus aligns with this partisan baseline and the absence of any late-cycle developments that would shift the balance ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$12,526Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds an 88% implied probability in the SC-04 House race because the Upstate South Carolina district has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, and incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican based on its voting history and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. The Democratic nominee, Courtney McClain, advanced without opposition, but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have prevailed by double digits. Traders' consensus aligns with this partisan baseline and the absence of any late-cycle developments that would shift the balance ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,526Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds an 88% implied probability in the SC-04 House race because the Upstate South Carolina district has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in recent cycles, and incumbent William Timmons secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican based on its voting history and lack of competitive Democratic infrastructure. The Democratic nominee, Courtney McClain, advanced without opposition, but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have prevailed by double digits. Traders' consensus aligns with this partisan baseline and the absence of any late-cycle developments that would shift the balance ahead of the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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