New York’s 10th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic areas of Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and delivered an 82% margin for the Democratic incumbent in 2024. All major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the market’s 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The Republican primary produced only a presumptive nominee with minimal resources or visibility, leaving the party without a viable path. A Democratic primary between incumbent Dan Goldman and Brad Lander on June 23 will determine the general-election candidate, but either outcome preserves the seat’s structural advantage. Only an unprecedented national Republican wave or late-breaking scandal could realistically alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-10
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-10
$44,544 Vol.
$44,544 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
2%
$44,544 Vol.
$44,544 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$12,095 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$32,449 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 10th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic areas of Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and delivered an 82% margin for the Democratic incumbent in 2024. All major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the market’s 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The Republican primary produced only a presumptive nominee with minimal resources or visibility, leaving the party without a viable path. A Democratic primary between incumbent Dan Goldman and Brad Lander on June 23 will determine the general-election candidate, but either outcome preserves the seat’s structural advantage. Only an unprecedented national Republican wave or late-breaking scandal could realistically alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$44,544Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New York’s 10th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic areas of Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and delivered an 82% margin for the Democratic incumbent in 2024. All major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the market’s 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The Republican primary produced only a presumptive nominee with minimal resources or visibility, leaving the party without a viable path. A Democratic primary between incumbent Dan Goldman and Brad Lander on June 23 will determine the general-election candidate, but either outcome preserves the seat’s structural advantage. Only an unprecedented national Republican wave or late-breaking scandal could realistically alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$44,544Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New York’s 10th congressional district, encompassing heavily Democratic areas of Lower Manhattan and Brooklyn, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32 and delivered an 82% margin for the Democratic incumbent in 2024. All major forecasters rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the market’s 94.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee. The Republican primary produced only a presumptive nominee with minimal resources or visibility, leaving the party without a viable path. A Democratic primary between incumbent Dan Goldman and Brad Lander on June 23 will determine the general-election candidate, but either outcome preserves the seat’s structural advantage. Only an unprecedented national Republican wave or late-breaking scandal could realistically alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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