Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed Democratic primary victory on March 3, coupled with her strong 2024 reelection margin of 22.6 points and $1.75 million cash on hand, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats in the TX-07 House race. The district's D+12 Cook PVI and Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underscore her edge, amplified by a fragmented Republican primary where Alexander Hale (45%) and Tina Blum Cohen (27%) advanced to the May 26 runoff amid meager fundraising. While odds imply low upset risk, a unified GOP nominee backed by national midterm momentum, scandal, or turnout surge in Houston suburbs could challenge the frontrunner.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTX-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TX-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$5,885 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$1,983 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed Democratic primary victory on March 3, coupled with her strong 2024 reelection margin of 22.6 points and $1.75 million cash on hand, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats in the TX-07 House race. The district's D+12 Cook PVI and Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underscore her edge, amplified by a fragmented Republican primary where Alexander Hale (45%) and Tina Blum Cohen (27%) advanced to the May 26 runoff amid meager fundraising. While odds imply low upset risk, a unified GOP nominee backed by national midterm momentum, scandal, or turnout surge in Houston suburbs could challenge the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$7,868Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed Democratic primary victory on March 3, coupled with her strong 2024 reelection margin of 22.6 points and $1.75 million cash on hand, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats in the TX-07 House race. The district's D+12 Cook PVI and Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underscore her edge, amplified by a fragmented Republican primary where Alexander Hale (45%) and Tina Blum Cohen (27%) advanced to the May 26 runoff amid meager fundraising. While odds imply low upset risk, a unified GOP nominee backed by national midterm momentum, scandal, or turnout surge in Houston suburbs could challenge the frontrunner.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,868Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lizzie Fletcher's unopposed Democratic primary victory on March 3, coupled with her strong 2024 reelection margin of 22.6 points and $1.75 million cash on hand, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats in the TX-07 House race. The district's D+12 Cook PVI and Solid Democratic ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report underscore her edge, amplified by a fragmented Republican primary where Alexander Hale (45%) and Tina Blum Cohen (27%) advanced to the May 26 runoff amid meager fundraising. While odds imply low upset risk, a unified GOP nominee backed by national midterm momentum, scandal, or turnout surge in Houston suburbs could challenge the frontrunner.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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