California's 14th Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat in the eastern San Francisco Bay Area, where the party has held the position with wide margins in recent cycles. Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations created an open seat and triggered both a special election primary on June 16 and a regular primary on June 2, yet the district's voter registration and past results continue to favor Democratic candidates. State Senator Aisha Wahab holds the California Democratic Party endorsement, while other Democratic contenders including Melissa Hernandez compete in a crowded field against limited Republican opposition such as Wendy Huang. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages, though a late surge by an independent or unusually strong Republican performance could narrow the gap before the August special general or November regular election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-14 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-14 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$26,831 Vol.
$26,831 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$26,831 Vol.
$26,831 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$8,619 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$18,211 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat in the eastern San Francisco Bay Area, where the party has held the position with wide margins in recent cycles. Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations created an open seat and triggered both a special election primary on June 16 and a regular primary on June 2, yet the district's voter registration and past results continue to favor Democratic candidates. State Senator Aisha Wahab holds the California Democratic Party endorsement, while other Democratic contenders including Melissa Hernandez compete in a crowded field against limited Republican opposition such as Wendy Huang. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages, though a late surge by an independent or unusually strong Republican performance could narrow the gap before the August special general or November regular election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$26,831Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat in the eastern San Francisco Bay Area, where the party has held the position with wide margins in recent cycles. Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations created an open seat and triggered both a special election primary on June 16 and a regular primary on June 2, yet the district's voter registration and past results continue to favor Democratic candidates. State Senator Aisha Wahab holds the California Democratic Party endorsement, while other Democratic contenders including Melissa Hernandez compete in a crowded field against limited Republican opposition such as Wendy Huang. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages, though a late surge by an independent or unusually strong Republican performance could narrow the gap before the August special general or November regular election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,831Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 14th Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat in the eastern San Francisco Bay Area, where the party has held the position with wide margins in recent cycles. Eric Swalwell's April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations created an open seat and triggered both a special election primary on June 16 and a regular primary on June 2, yet the district's voter registration and past results continue to favor Democratic candidates. State Senator Aisha Wahab holds the California Democratic Party endorsement, while other Democratic contenders including Melissa Hernandez compete in a crowded field against limited Republican opposition such as Wendy Huang. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages, though a late surge by an independent or unusually strong Republican performance could narrow the gap before the August special general or November regular election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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