California’s 15th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Kevin Mullin faces limited Republican opposition in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary and enters the November general election with a substantial fundraising and name-recognition edge. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with historical results and the absence of competitive challengers. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well outside current patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-15 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-15 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$116,213 Vol.
$116,213 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
96%
Partido Republicano
4%
$116,213 Vol.
$116,213 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$92,679 Vol.
96%
Partido Republicano
$23,534 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 15th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Kevin Mullin faces limited Republican opposition in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary and enters the November general election with a substantial fundraising and name-recognition edge. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with historical results and the absence of competitive challengers. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well outside current patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volumen
$116,213Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 15th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Kevin Mullin faces limited Republican opposition in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary and enters the November general election with a substantial fundraising and name-recognition edge. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with historical results and the absence of competitive challengers. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well outside current patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$116,213Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 15th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+26 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Representative Kevin Mullin faces limited Republican opposition in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary and enters the November general election with a substantial fundraising and name-recognition edge. Trader consensus at 95.5% for the Democratic nominee aligns with historical results and the absence of competitive challengers. A late scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or sharp national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though such shifts would require developments well outside current patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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