The solidly Democratic lean of California's 39th congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent ratings from nonpartisan analysts as safe or solid for Democrats, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91 percent. Incumbent Representative Mark Takano, first elected in 2012, faces Republican Steve Manos in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary ahead of the November general election, with no major recent developments shifting the underlying fundamentals. Historical margins and voter registration patterns reinforce this positioning. A Republican general-election victory would require an unusually large swing in national conditions, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or an unexpected primary outcome that alters the field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-39 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-39 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$32,793 Vol.
$32,793 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
91%
Partido Republicano
8%
$32,793 Vol.
$32,793 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$26,631 Vol.
91%
Partido Republicano
$6,162 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic lean of California's 39th congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent ratings from nonpartisan analysts as safe or solid for Democrats, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91 percent. Incumbent Representative Mark Takano, first elected in 2012, faces Republican Steve Manos in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary ahead of the November general election, with no major recent developments shifting the underlying fundamentals. Historical margins and voter registration patterns reinforce this positioning. A Republican general-election victory would require an unusually large swing in national conditions, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or an unexpected primary outcome that alters the field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$32,793Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Democratic lean of California's 39th congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent ratings from nonpartisan analysts as safe or solid for Democrats, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91 percent. Incumbent Representative Mark Takano, first elected in 2012, faces Republican Steve Manos in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary ahead of the November general election, with no major recent developments shifting the underlying fundamentals. Historical margins and voter registration patterns reinforce this positioning. A Republican general-election victory would require an unusually large swing in national conditions, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or an unexpected primary outcome that alters the field.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,793Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Democratic lean of California's 39th congressional district, reflected in its partisan voting index and consistent ratings from nonpartisan analysts as safe or solid for Democrats, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 91 percent. Incumbent Representative Mark Takano, first elected in 2012, faces Republican Steve Manos in the June 2, 2026 top-two primary ahead of the November general election, with no major recent developments shifting the underlying fundamentals. Historical margins and voter registration patterns reinforce this positioning. A Republican general-election victory would require an unusually large swing in national conditions, turnout shifts among key voting blocs, or an unexpected primary outcome that alters the field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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