Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano holds a commanding position in California's 39th congressional district, reflected in the 91% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+7, with consistent strong performance in recent cycles and ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Takano faces Republican Steve Manos in the June 2 top-two primary, where the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition reinforce expectations of advancement to the November general. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns in the Inland Empire district limit realistic paths for a Republican upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCA-39 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
CA-39 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$34,385 Vol.
$34,385 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
92%
Partido Republicano
7%
$34,385 Vol.
$34,385 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$26,631 Vol.
92%
Partido Republicano
$7,754 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano holds a commanding position in California's 39th congressional district, reflected in the 91% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+7, with consistent strong performance in recent cycles and ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Takano faces Republican Steve Manos in the June 2 top-two primary, where the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition reinforce expectations of advancement to the November general. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns in the Inland Empire district limit realistic paths for a Republican upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$34,385Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano holds a commanding position in California's 39th congressional district, reflected in the 91% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+7, with consistent strong performance in recent cycles and ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Takano faces Republican Steve Manos in the June 2 top-two primary, where the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition reinforce expectations of advancement to the November general. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns in the Inland Empire district limit realistic paths for a Republican upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-39 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$34,385Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Mark Takano holds a commanding position in California's 39th congressional district, reflected in the 91% trader consensus for the Democratic Party. The seat carries a Democratic partisan voting index of roughly D+7, with consistent strong performance in recent cycles and ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Takano faces Republican Steve Manos in the June 2 top-two primary, where the incumbent's established fundraising and name recognition reinforce expectations of advancement to the November general. A late scandal, health event, or sharp national swing could still narrow the margin, though structural factors and historical patterns in the Inland Empire district limit realistic paths for a Republican upset.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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