The narrow D+1 partisan voter index and Josh Riley’s prior two-point general election victory sustain a closely contested NY-19 race, reflected in trader consensus near 51-42. Riley benefits from incumbency and early Democratic consolidation after the canceled primary, while Republican contenders Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli compete in the June 23 primary for the nomination in a district that includes competitive areas around Binghamton and Ithaca. Midterm-year turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and any national political tailwinds could shift margins, as historical data shows such lean districts often hinge on small changes in voter enthusiasm or late-campaign developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-19
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-19
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
51%
Partido Demócrata
46%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$50 Vol.
51%
Partido Demócrata
$225 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The narrow D+1 partisan voter index and Josh Riley’s prior two-point general election victory sustain a closely contested NY-19 race, reflected in trader consensus near 51-42. Riley benefits from incumbency and early Democratic consolidation after the canceled primary, while Republican contenders Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli compete in the June 23 primary for the nomination in a district that includes competitive areas around Binghamton and Ithaca. Midterm-year turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and any national political tailwinds could shift margins, as historical data shows such lean districts often hinge on small changes in voter enthusiasm or late-campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Volumen
$275Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The narrow D+1 partisan voter index and Josh Riley’s prior two-point general election victory sustain a closely contested NY-19 race, reflected in trader consensus near 51-42. Riley benefits from incumbency and early Democratic consolidation after the canceled primary, while Republican contenders Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli compete in the June 23 primary for the nomination in a district that includes competitive areas around Binghamton and Ithaca. Midterm-year turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and any national political tailwinds could shift margins, as historical data shows such lean districts often hinge on small changes in voter enthusiasm or late-campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$275Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The narrow D+1 partisan voter index and Josh Riley’s prior two-point general election victory sustain a closely contested NY-19 race, reflected in trader consensus near 51-42. Riley benefits from incumbency and early Democratic consolidation after the canceled primary, while Republican contenders Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli compete in the June 23 primary for the nomination in a district that includes competitive areas around Binghamton and Ithaca. Midterm-year turnout patterns, candidate fundraising, and any national political tailwinds could shift margins, as historical data shows such lean districts often hinge on small changes in voter enthusiasm or late-campaign developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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