Texas's 19th congressional district, covering much of West Texas including Lubbock and Abilene, features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Jodey Arrington retired ahead of the 2026 cycle. Republican nominee Tom Sell secured the nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's strong partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 25 points or more. Trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 93.5% reflects the seat's entrenched Republican advantage and limited Democratic infrastructure, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national midterm environment could still alter general election dynamics before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-19
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de TX-19
$15,574 Vol.
$15,574 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$15,574 Vol.
$15,574 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$2,164 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$13,410 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th congressional district, covering much of West Texas including Lubbock and Abilene, features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Jodey Arrington retired ahead of the 2026 cycle. Republican nominee Tom Sell secured the nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's strong partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 25 points or more. Trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 93.5% reflects the seat's entrenched Republican advantage and limited Democratic infrastructure, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national midterm environment could still alter general election dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$15,574Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 19th congressional district, covering much of West Texas including Lubbock and Abilene, features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Jodey Arrington retired ahead of the 2026 cycle. Republican nominee Tom Sell secured the nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's strong partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 25 points or more. Trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 93.5% reflects the seat's entrenched Republican advantage and limited Democratic infrastructure, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national midterm environment could still alter general election dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,574Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 19th congressional district, covering much of West Texas including Lubbock and Abilene, features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Jodey Arrington retired ahead of the 2026 cycle. Republican nominee Tom Sell secured the nomination by winning the May 26 primary runoff, while Democrat Kyle Rable advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's strong partisan voting index favoring the GOP by roughly 25 points or more. Trader consensus pricing the Republican Party at 93.5% reflects the seat's entrenched Republican advantage and limited Democratic infrastructure, though an unforeseen scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national midterm environment could still alter general election dynamics before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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