Recent polling shows Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow statewide lead over Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race ahead of the November 3 general election, with margins ranging from 2 to 7 points in September surveys. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary after a close contest against Rep. Haley Stevens, while Rogers faced no primary opposition. Grand Traverse County’s rural profile and voting patterns in prior cycles have historically favored Republican candidates, yet current trader consensus on county-level outcomes appears shaped by El-Sayed’s overall momentum, fundraising edge among individual donors, and performance in recent statewide aggregates. Minor-party candidates and write-in options register lower probabilities consistent with historical vote shares in the county.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
70%
Mike Rogers (R)
43%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$66 Vol.
70%
Mike Rogers (R)
$50 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.Recent polling shows Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow statewide lead over Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race ahead of the November 3 general election, with margins ranging from 2 to 7 points in September surveys. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary after a close contest against Rep. Haley Stevens, while Rogers faced no primary opposition. Grand Traverse County’s rural profile and voting patterns in prior cycles have historically favored Republican candidates, yet current trader consensus on county-level outcomes appears shaped by El-Sayed’s overall momentum, fundraising edge among individual donors, and performance in recent statewide aggregates. Minor-party candidates and write-in options register lower probabilities consistent with historical vote shares in the county.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Volumen
$116Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.Recent polling shows Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow statewide lead over Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race ahead of the November 3 general election, with margins ranging from 2 to 7 points in September surveys. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary after a close contest against Rep. Haley Stevens, while Rogers faced no primary opposition. Grand Traverse County’s rural profile and voting patterns in prior cycles have historically favored Republican candidates, yet current trader consensus on county-level outcomes appears shaped by El-Sayed’s overall momentum, fundraising edge among individual donors, and performance in recent statewide aggregates. Minor-party candidates and write-in options register lower probabilities consistent with historical vote shares in the county.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Grand Traverse County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Grand Traverse County.
Volumen
$116Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 22, 2026, 12:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed holding a narrow statewide lead over Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race ahead of the November 3 general election, with margins ranging from 2 to 7 points in September surveys. El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary after a close contest against Rep. Haley Stevens, while Rogers faced no primary opposition. Grand Traverse County’s rural profile and voting patterns in prior cycles have historically favored Republican candidates, yet current trader consensus on county-level outcomes appears shaped by El-Sayed’s overall momentum, fundraising edge among individual donors, and performance in recent statewide aggregates. Minor-party candidates and write-in options register lower probabilities consistent with historical vote shares in the county.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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