In New York’s 1st congressional district, the narrow spread between Republican and Democratic contenders reflects the competitive positioning ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota faces Democratic primary contenders including Christopher Gallant, with one late-2025 survey showing LaLota ahead by three points. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or likely Republican given its partisan lean and LaLota’s prior performance, yet trader consensus remains tight amid national midterm conditions, candidate fundraising, and turnout patterns on Long Island. Primary outcomes and subsequent general-election developments could shift the balance before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-01
Ganador de las elecciones a la Cámara de Representantes de NY-01
$30,655 Vol.
$30,655 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
48%
Partido Demócrata
43%
$30,655 Vol.
$30,655 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$9,094 Vol.
48%
Partido Demócrata
$21,562 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In New York’s 1st congressional district, the narrow spread between Republican and Democratic contenders reflects the competitive positioning ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota faces Democratic primary contenders including Christopher Gallant, with one late-2025 survey showing LaLota ahead by three points. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or likely Republican given its partisan lean and LaLota’s prior performance, yet trader consensus remains tight amid national midterm conditions, candidate fundraising, and turnout patterns on Long Island. Primary outcomes and subsequent general-election developments could shift the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$30,655Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In New York’s 1st congressional district, the narrow spread between Republican and Democratic contenders reflects the competitive positioning ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota faces Democratic primary contenders including Christopher Gallant, with one late-2025 survey showing LaLota ahead by three points. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or likely Republican given its partisan lean and LaLota’s prior performance, yet trader consensus remains tight amid national midterm conditions, candidate fundraising, and turnout patterns on Long Island. Primary outcomes and subsequent general-election developments could shift the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$30,655Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In New York’s 1st congressional district, the narrow spread between Republican and Democratic contenders reflects the competitive positioning ahead of the June 23 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Republican Nick LaLota faces Democratic primary contenders including Christopher Gallant, with one late-2025 survey showing LaLota ahead by three points. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat solid or likely Republican given its partisan lean and LaLota’s prior performance, yet trader consensus remains tight amid national midterm conditions, candidate fundraising, and turnout patterns on Long Island. Primary outcomes and subsequent general-election developments could shift the balance before November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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