The Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett holds a strong 77% implied probability in the NJ-07 general election market due to her decisive June 2 primary victory and positioning in a competitive suburban district that has flipped between parties in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr., seeking a third term, faces headwinds from months of absence tied to an undisclosed illness, which drew attention even after his May return and assurances of recovery. Recent polling shows Bennett narrowly ahead or competitive, reflecting the district’s swing character and voter concerns over Kean’s health. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with Bennett’s Navy veteran background and fundraising, more heavily than historical Republican leanings in the seat, though the November outcome remains sensitive to turnout and any further health updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-07
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NJ-07
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
76%
Partido Republicano
14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$485 Vol.
76%
Partido Republicano
$3,727 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett holds a strong 77% implied probability in the NJ-07 general election market due to her decisive June 2 primary victory and positioning in a competitive suburban district that has flipped between parties in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr., seeking a third term, faces headwinds from months of absence tied to an undisclosed illness, which drew attention even after his May return and assurances of recovery. Recent polling shows Bennett narrowly ahead or competitive, reflecting the district’s swing character and voter concerns over Kean’s health. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with Bennett’s Navy veteran background and fundraising, more heavily than historical Republican leanings in the seat, though the November outcome remains sensitive to turnout and any further health updates.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volumen
$4,212Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett holds a strong 77% implied probability in the NJ-07 general election market due to her decisive June 2 primary victory and positioning in a competitive suburban district that has flipped between parties in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr., seeking a third term, faces headwinds from months of absence tied to an undisclosed illness, which drew attention even after his May return and assurances of recovery. Recent polling shows Bennett narrowly ahead or competitive, reflecting the district’s swing character and voter concerns over Kean’s health. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with Bennett’s Navy veteran background and fundraising, more heavily than historical Republican leanings in the seat, though the November outcome remains sensitive to turnout and any further health updates.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$4,212Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee Rebecca Bennett holds a strong 77% implied probability in the NJ-07 general election market due to her decisive June 2 primary victory and positioning in a competitive suburban district that has flipped between parties in recent cycles. Incumbent Republican Tom Kean Jr., seeking a third term, faces headwinds from months of absence tied to an undisclosed illness, which drew attention even after his May return and assurances of recovery. Recent polling shows Bennett narrowly ahead or competitive, reflecting the district’s swing character and voter concerns over Kean’s health. Traders appear to weigh these factors, along with Bennett’s Navy veteran background and fundraising, more heavily than historical Republican leanings in the seat, though the November outcome remains sensitive to turnout and any further health updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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