The New York 7th congressional district, encompassing parts of Brooklyn and Queens, has long favored Democratic candidates, as shown by the incumbent's 78 percent margin in 2024. With Nydia Velázquez retiring, the June 23 Democratic primary will determine the nominee in this solidly Democratic seat, where recent ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent implied probability of winning the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's voter registration edge, historical turnout patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure. A Republican victory remains improbable absent a major shift in local conditions or turnout. Potential challenges include an unusually divisive primary outcome that depresses Democratic support, unexpected national political realignment before November, or unusually high Republican mobilization in specific precincts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-07
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de NY-07
$22,285 Vol.
$22,285 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
6%
$22,285 Vol.
$22,285 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$11,501 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$10,784 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New York 7th congressional district, encompassing parts of Brooklyn and Queens, has long favored Democratic candidates, as shown by the incumbent's 78 percent margin in 2024. With Nydia Velázquez retiring, the June 23 Democratic primary will determine the nominee in this solidly Democratic seat, where recent ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent implied probability of winning the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's voter registration edge, historical turnout patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure. A Republican victory remains improbable absent a major shift in local conditions or turnout. Potential challenges include an unusually divisive primary outcome that depresses Democratic support, unexpected national political realignment before November, or unusually high Republican mobilization in specific precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volumen
$22,285Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The New York 7th congressional district, encompassing parts of Brooklyn and Queens, has long favored Democratic candidates, as shown by the incumbent's 78 percent margin in 2024. With Nydia Velázquez retiring, the June 23 Democratic primary will determine the nominee in this solidly Democratic seat, where recent ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent implied probability of winning the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's voter registration edge, historical turnout patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure. A Republican victory remains improbable absent a major shift in local conditions or turnout. Potential challenges include an unusually divisive primary outcome that depresses Democratic support, unexpected national political realignment before November, or unusually high Republican mobilization in specific precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$22,285Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The New York 7th congressional district, encompassing parts of Brooklyn and Queens, has long favored Democratic candidates, as shown by the incumbent's 78 percent margin in 2024. With Nydia Velázquez retiring, the June 23 Democratic primary will determine the nominee in this solidly Democratic seat, where recent ratings classify the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent implied probability of winning the November 3 general election, reflecting the district's voter registration edge, historical turnout patterns, and limited Republican infrastructure. A Republican victory remains improbable absent a major shift in local conditions or turnout. Potential challenges include an unusually divisive primary outcome that depresses Democratic support, unexpected national political realignment before November, or unusually high Republican mobilization in specific precincts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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