Indiana's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, establishing a durable structural advantage for Republican candidates in general elections. Incumbent Marlin Stutzman secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Kelly Thompson emerged unopposed on her side. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the seat Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles. Trader pricing at 92.5% Republican reflects this entrenched lean plus incumbency and fundraising edges. Late shifts could arise only from an unusually strong national Democratic surge, a major candidate-specific development, or turnout anomalies not seen in comparable cycles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de IN-03
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de IN-03
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$2,608 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$3,854 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Indiana's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, establishing a durable structural advantage for Republican candidates in general elections. Incumbent Marlin Stutzman secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Kelly Thompson emerged unopposed on her side. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the seat Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles. Trader pricing at 92.5% Republican reflects this entrenched lean plus incumbency and fundraising edges. Late shifts could arise only from an unusually strong national Democratic surge, a major candidate-specific development, or turnout anomalies not seen in comparable cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$6,462Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Indiana's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, establishing a durable structural advantage for Republican candidates in general elections. Incumbent Marlin Stutzman secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Kelly Thompson emerged unopposed on her side. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the seat Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles. Trader pricing at 92.5% Republican reflects this entrenched lean plus incumbency and fundraising edges. Late shifts could arise only from an unusually strong national Democratic surge, a major candidate-specific development, or turnout anomalies not seen in comparable cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$6,462Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Indiana's 3rd congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, establishing a durable structural advantage for Republican candidates in general elections. Incumbent Marlin Stutzman secured the GOP nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote, while Democrat Kelly Thompson emerged unopposed on her side. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato rate the seat Safe Republican, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles. Trader pricing at 92.5% Republican reflects this entrenched lean plus incumbency and fundraising edges. Late shifts could arise only from an unusually strong national Democratic surge, a major candidate-specific development, or turnout anomalies not seen in comparable cycles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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