Republican incumbent Marlin Stutzman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 3rd congressional district, defeating challenger Jon Kenworthy and advancing to face Democrat Kelly Thompson, who ran unopposed. The northeast Indiana district, centered on Fort Wayne, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, including Stutzman's 65% win in 2024. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's established name recognition and primary performance, and the absence of a high-profile Democratic contender. Late developments that could narrow this margin include significant national political shifts, a major scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the current field suggest limited near-term volatility before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de IN-03
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de IN-03
$12,398 Vol.
$12,398 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$12,398 Vol.
$12,398 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$3,120 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$9,278 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Marlin Stutzman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 3rd congressional district, defeating challenger Jon Kenworthy and advancing to face Democrat Kelly Thompson, who ran unopposed. The northeast Indiana district, centered on Fort Wayne, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, including Stutzman's 65% win in 2024. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's established name recognition and primary performance, and the absence of a high-profile Democratic contender. Late developments that could narrow this margin include significant national political shifts, a major scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the current field suggest limited near-term volatility before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volumen
$12,398Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Marlin Stutzman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 3rd congressional district, defeating challenger Jon Kenworthy and advancing to face Democrat Kelly Thompson, who ran unopposed. The northeast Indiana district, centered on Fort Wayne, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, including Stutzman's 65% win in 2024. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's established name recognition and primary performance, and the absence of a high-profile Democratic contender. Late developments that could narrow this margin include significant national political shifts, a major scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the current field suggest limited near-term volatility before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,398Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Marlin Stutzman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary for Indiana's 3rd congressional district, defeating challenger Jon Kenworthy and advancing to face Democrat Kelly Thompson, who ran unopposed. The northeast Indiana district, centered on Fort Wayne, has favored Republicans in recent cycles, including Stutzman's 65% win in 2024. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee reflects the district's partisan composition, the incumbent's established name recognition and primary performance, and the absence of a high-profile Democratic contender. Late developments that could narrow this margin include significant national political shifts, a major scandal, or unusually strong Democratic turnout, though historical patterns and the current field suggest limited near-term volatility before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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