Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson’s long tenure since 1993, decisive primary victory, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean—driven by its majority-Black population and Mississippi Delta geography—underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited general-election competition despite Republican nominee Ron Eller’s primary win and an independent candidate on the ballot. Potential shifts could stem from court-ordered redistricting before the general, unusually high Republican turnout in a national wave, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMS-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MS-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$38,558 Vol.
$38,558 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$38,558 Vol.
$38,558 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$22,631 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$15,927 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson’s long tenure since 1993, decisive primary victory, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean—driven by its majority-Black population and Mississippi Delta geography—underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited general-election competition despite Republican nominee Ron Eller’s primary win and an independent candidate on the ballot. Potential shifts could stem from court-ordered redistricting before the general, unusually high Republican turnout in a national wave, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$38,558Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson’s long tenure since 1993, decisive primary victory, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean—driven by its majority-Black population and Mississippi Delta geography—underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited general-election competition despite Republican nominee Ron Eller’s primary win and an independent candidate on the ballot. Potential shifts could stem from court-ordered redistricting before the general, unusually high Republican turnout in a national wave, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$38,558Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson’s long tenure since 1993, decisive primary victory, and the district’s consistent Democratic lean—driven by its majority-Black population and Mississippi Delta geography—underpin the 92.5% trader consensus for a Democratic win in the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato, and others classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited general-election competition despite Republican nominee Ron Eller’s primary win and an independent candidate on the ballot. Potential shifts could stem from court-ordered redistricting before the general, unusually high Republican turnout in a national wave, or unexpected developments involving the incumbent, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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