Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with over 86 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Ron Eller in the November general election. The district's partisan voting index and demographic makeup, including a majority-Black electorate concentrated in the Delta and Jackson area, have produced consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting its status as the state's sole reliably Democratic House district. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events altering the baseline, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 89 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMS-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MS-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$26,093 Vol.
$26,093 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
89%
Partido Republicano
9%
$26,093 Vol.
$26,093 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$13,767 Vol.
89%
Partido Republicano
$12,325 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with over 86 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Ron Eller in the November general election. The district's partisan voting index and demographic makeup, including a majority-Black electorate concentrated in the Delta and Jackson area, have produced consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting its status as the state's sole reliably Democratic House district. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events altering the baseline, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 89 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$26,093Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with over 86 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Ron Eller in the November general election. The district's partisan voting index and demographic makeup, including a majority-Black electorate concentrated in the Delta and Jackson area, have produced consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting its status as the state's sole reliably Democratic House district. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events altering the baseline, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 89 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$26,093Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination for Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District in the March 2026 primary with over 86 percent of the vote, facing Republican nominee Ron Eller in the November general election. The district's partisan voting index and demographic makeup, including a majority-Black electorate concentrated in the Delta and Jackson area, have produced consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, reflecting its status as the state's sole reliably Democratic House district. With the general election still months away and no major shifts in candidate positioning or external events altering the baseline, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 89 percent implied probability of holding the seat.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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