Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio and Libertarian Erik Kiehle in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both major-party nominees advanced unopposed in March primaries. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting its eastern and southwestern Mississippi composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. A competitive outcome would require an unusually large national swing or unforeseen local development capable of overcoming the established partisan baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMS-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MS-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$31,139 Vol.
$31,139 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
5%
$31,139 Vol.
$31,139 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,585 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$22,554 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio and Libertarian Erik Kiehle in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both major-party nominees advanced unopposed in March primaries. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting its eastern and southwestern Mississippi composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. A competitive outcome would require an unusually large national swing or unforeseen local development capable of overcoming the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$31,139Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio and Libertarian Erik Kiehle in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both major-party nominees advanced unopposed in March primaries. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting its eastern and southwestern Mississippi composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. A competitive outcome would require an unusually large national swing or unforeseen local development capable of overcoming the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$31,139Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Guest faces Democrat Michael Chiaradio and Libertarian Erik Kiehle in Mississippi’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026, after both major-party nominees advanced unopposed in March primaries. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican, reflecting its eastern and southwestern Mississippi composition and limited Democratic infrastructure. A competitive outcome would require an unusually large national swing or unforeseen local development capable of overcoming the established partisan baseline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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