Democratic incumbent Steven Horsford holds a strong position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+2 Partisan Voter Index and major forecasters rate it Likely Democratic, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt and Horsford’s established incumbency since 2019. Republican primary candidates are competing on June 9 with no standout challenger emerging to date. Fundraising data shows Horsford maintaining a substantial cash advantage, consistent with limited national party focus on the race. These structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes NV-04
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes NV-04
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
89%
Partido Republicano
16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$827 Vol.
89%
Partido Republicano
$605 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Steven Horsford holds a strong position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+2 Partisan Voter Index and major forecasters rate it Likely Democratic, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt and Horsford’s established incumbency since 2019. Republican primary candidates are competing on June 9 with no standout challenger emerging to date. Fundraising data shows Horsford maintaining a substantial cash advantage, consistent with limited national party focus on the race. These structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volumen
$1,432Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Steven Horsford holds a strong position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+2 Partisan Voter Index and major forecasters rate it Likely Democratic, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt and Horsford’s established incumbency since 2019. Republican primary candidates are competing on June 9 with no standout challenger emerging to date. Fundraising data shows Horsford maintaining a substantial cash advantage, consistent with limited national party focus on the race. These structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$1,432Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Steven Horsford holds a strong position in Nevada’s 4th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a D+2 Partisan Voter Index and major forecasters rate it Likely Democratic, reflecting its modest Democratic tilt and Horsford’s established incumbency since 2019. Republican primary candidates are competing on June 9 with no standout challenger emerging to date. Fundraising data shows Horsford maintaining a substantial cash advantage, consistent with limited national party focus on the race. These structural factors and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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