The open seat in Nevada's 2nd congressional district, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei's retirement, has drawn crowded primaries on both sides ahead of the June 9 vote. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and Republican registration advantage of roughly three-to-two sustain trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee at 72 percent implied probability. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting consistent historical performance and limited evidence of a broader shift despite Democratic efforts to consolidate around a self-funding candidate. No major late developments have altered the structural partisan balance in recent weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes NV-02
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes NV-02
$19,946 Vol.
$19,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
72%
Partido Demócrata
27%
$19,946 Vol.
$19,946 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$11,420 Vol.
72%
Partido Demócrata
$8,527 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada's 2nd congressional district, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei's retirement, has drawn crowded primaries on both sides ahead of the June 9 vote. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and Republican registration advantage of roughly three-to-two sustain trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee at 72 percent implied probability. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting consistent historical performance and limited evidence of a broader shift despite Democratic efforts to consolidate around a self-funding candidate. No major late developments have altered the structural partisan balance in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$19,946Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Nevada's 2nd congressional district, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei's retirement, has drawn crowded primaries on both sides ahead of the June 9 vote. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and Republican registration advantage of roughly three-to-two sustain trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee at 72 percent implied probability. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting consistent historical performance and limited evidence of a broader shift despite Democratic efforts to consolidate around a self-funding candidate. No major late developments have altered the structural partisan balance in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$19,946Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Nevada's 2nd congressional district, following longtime Republican incumbent Mark Amodei's retirement, has drawn crowded primaries on both sides ahead of the June 9 vote. The district's R+7 partisan voting index and Republican registration advantage of roughly three-to-two sustain trader consensus favoring the eventual GOP nominee at 72 percent implied probability. Forecasters rate the race Solid Republican, reflecting consistent historical performance and limited evidence of a broader shift despite Democratic efforts to consolidate around a self-funding candidate. No major late developments have altered the structural partisan balance in recent weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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