Oklahoma’s strong Republican tilt and the open U.S. Senate seat created by Markwayne Mullin’s March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration underpin the 91% Republican probability reflected in trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state’s partisan voting index and limited Democratic fundraising. The June 16 Republican primary will select the nominee among established candidates, while Democratic options remain marginal. With more than five months until the November general election, only a major national political shift or unforeseen primary outcome could realistically alter the current market positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$14,419 Vol.
$14,419 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
91%
Demócrata
10%
$14,419 Vol.
$14,419 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Republicano
$8,915 Vol.
91%
Demócrata
$5,504 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma’s strong Republican tilt and the open U.S. Senate seat created by Markwayne Mullin’s March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration underpin the 91% Republican probability reflected in trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state’s partisan voting index and limited Democratic fundraising. The June 16 Republican primary will select the nominee among established candidates, while Democratic options remain marginal. With more than five months until the November general election, only a major national political shift or unforeseen primary outcome could realistically alter the current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volumen
$14,419Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma’s strong Republican tilt and the open U.S. Senate seat created by Markwayne Mullin’s March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration underpin the 91% Republican probability reflected in trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state’s partisan voting index and limited Democratic fundraising. The June 16 Republican primary will select the nominee among established candidates, while Democratic options remain marginal. With more than five months until the November general election, only a major national political shift or unforeseen primary outcome could realistically alter the current market positioning.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$14,419Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma’s strong Republican tilt and the open U.S. Senate seat created by Markwayne Mullin’s March 2026 resignation to join the Trump administration underpin the 91% Republican probability reflected in trader consensus. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the state’s partisan voting index and limited Democratic fundraising. The June 16 Republican primary will select the nominee among established candidates, while Democratic options remain marginal. With more than five months until the November general election, only a major national political shift or unforeseen primary outcome could realistically alter the current market positioning.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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