Florida's special U.S. Senate election features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking to complete Marco Rubio's term through November 2026. Moody holds consistent 8- to 10-point leads in recent University of North Florida and other polling against Democratic primary contenders Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon ahead of the August 18 primaries. The state's longstanding Republican tilt and historical Senate voting patterns reinforce this positioning, limiting Democratic pathways absent major late shifts. Traders reflect these fundamentals in the current consensus, assigning an 87% implied probability to a Republican victory while leaving room for primary outcomes or campaign developments to influence final margins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
$68,903 Vol.
$68,903 Vol.
Republicano
87%
Demócrata
14%
$68,903 Vol.
$68,903 Vol.
Republicano
$39,045 Vol.
87%
Demócrata
$29,859 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's special U.S. Senate election features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking to complete Marco Rubio's term through November 2026. Moody holds consistent 8- to 10-point leads in recent University of North Florida and other polling against Democratic primary contenders Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon ahead of the August 18 primaries. The state's longstanding Republican tilt and historical Senate voting patterns reinforce this positioning, limiting Democratic pathways absent major late shifts. Traders reflect these fundamentals in the current consensus, assigning an 87% implied probability to a Republican victory while leaving room for primary outcomes or campaign developments to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$68,903Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's special U.S. Senate election features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking to complete Marco Rubio's term through November 2026. Moody holds consistent 8- to 10-point leads in recent University of North Florida and other polling against Democratic primary contenders Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon ahead of the August 18 primaries. The state's longstanding Republican tilt and historical Senate voting patterns reinforce this positioning, limiting Democratic pathways absent major late shifts. Traders reflect these fundamentals in the current consensus, assigning an 87% implied probability to a Republican victory while leaving room for primary outcomes or campaign developments to influence final margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$68,903Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's special U.S. Senate election features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking to complete Marco Rubio's term through November 2026. Moody holds consistent 8- to 10-point leads in recent University of North Florida and other polling against Democratic primary contenders Alex Vindman and Angie Nixon ahead of the August 18 primaries. The state's longstanding Republican tilt and historical Senate voting patterns reinforce this positioning, limiting Democratic pathways absent major late shifts. Traders reflect these fundamentals in the current consensus, assigning an 87% implied probability to a Republican victory while leaving room for primary outcomes or campaign developments to influence final margins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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