Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a strong position in Florida's 2026 special Senate election to complete the remainder of Marco Rubio's term, following his resignation to join the Trump administration as secretary of state. Recent polls from sources including the University of North Florida and Emerson College show Moody leading likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman by 8-10 points in head-to-head general election matchups. Florida's partisan voting patterns and Moody's incumbency as the governor-appointed senator contribute to trader consensus reflected in the market's 87% Republican probability. The August 18 Democratic primary and November general election timeline remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Florida
$68,903 Vol.
$68,903 Vol.
Republicano
87%
Demócrata
14%
$68,903 Vol.
$68,903 Vol.
Republicano
$39,045 Vol.
87%
Demócrata
$29,859 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a strong position in Florida's 2026 special Senate election to complete the remainder of Marco Rubio's term, following his resignation to join the Trump administration as secretary of state. Recent polls from sources including the University of North Florida and Emerson College show Moody leading likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman by 8-10 points in head-to-head general election matchups. Florida's partisan voting patterns and Moody's incumbency as the governor-appointed senator contribute to trader consensus reflected in the market's 87% Republican probability. The August 18 Democratic primary and November general election timeline remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Volumen
$68,903Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a strong position in Florida's 2026 special Senate election to complete the remainder of Marco Rubio's term, following his resignation to join the Trump administration as secretary of state. Recent polls from sources including the University of North Florida and Emerson College show Moody leading likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman by 8-10 points in head-to-head general election matchups. Florida's partisan voting patterns and Moody's incumbency as the governor-appointed senator contribute to trader consensus reflected in the market's 87% Republican probability. The August 18 Democratic primary and November general election timeline remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$68,903Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Ashley Moody holds a strong position in Florida's 2026 special Senate election to complete the remainder of Marco Rubio's term, following his resignation to join the Trump administration as secretary of state. Recent polls from sources including the University of North Florida and Emerson College show Moody leading likely Democratic nominees Angie Nixon or Alex Vindman by 8-10 points in head-to-head general election matchups. Florida's partisan voting patterns and Moody's incumbency as the governor-appointed senator contribute to trader consensus reflected in the market's 87% Republican probability. The August 18 Democratic primary and November general election timeline remain key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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