Diddy's projected release remains anchored in early 2028 due to his October 2025 conviction on two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution, which carried a 50-month sentence at FCI Fort Dix. Federal Bureau of Prisons records have adjusted the date several times—most recently to January 24, 2028—reflecting modest credits from the Residential Drug Abuse Program and good-time calculations, yet consistently placing freedom well after 2026. Minor setbacks from reported prison altercations have produced only small shifts within 2028, while the pending Second Circuit appeal has not yielded rulings that would accelerate release dramatically. Traders view a 2026 exit as improbable absent an unexpected reversal or extraordinary relief, aligning with the 80.8% "No" consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Fue liberado de la custodia en 2026?
¿Fue liberado de la custodia en 2026?
Sí
6% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
6% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diddy's projected release remains anchored in early 2028 due to his October 2025 conviction on two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution, which carried a 50-month sentence at FCI Fort Dix. Federal Bureau of Prisons records have adjusted the date several times—most recently to January 24, 2028—reflecting modest credits from the Residential Drug Abuse Program and good-time calculations, yet consistently placing freedom well after 2026. Minor setbacks from reported prison altercations have produced only small shifts within 2028, while the pending Second Circuit appeal has not yielded rulings that would accelerate release dramatically. Traders view a 2026 exit as improbable absent an unexpected reversal or extraordinary relief, aligning with the 80.8% "No" consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Volumen
$2,362Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Apr 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Diddy's projected release remains anchored in early 2028 due to his October 2025 conviction on two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution, which carried a 50-month sentence at FCI Fort Dix. Federal Bureau of Prisons records have adjusted the date several times—most recently to January 24, 2028—reflecting modest credits from the Residential Drug Abuse Program and good-time calculations, yet consistently placing freedom well after 2026. Minor setbacks from reported prison altercations have produced only small shifts within 2028, while the pending Second Circuit appeal has not yielded rulings that would accelerate release dramatically. Traders view a 2026 exit as improbable absent an unexpected reversal or extraordinary relief, aligning with the 80.8% "No" consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sean "Diddy" Combs is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Sean Combs is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Sean Combs is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Sean Combs to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,362Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Apr 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Diddy's projected release remains anchored in early 2028 due to his October 2025 conviction on two counts of transportation to engage in prostitution, which carried a 50-month sentence at FCI Fort Dix. Federal Bureau of Prisons records have adjusted the date several times—most recently to January 24, 2028—reflecting modest credits from the Residential Drug Abuse Program and good-time calculations, yet consistently placing freedom well after 2026. Minor setbacks from reported prison altercations have produced only small shifts within 2028, while the pending Second Circuit appeal has not yielded rulings that would accelerate release dramatically. Traders view a 2026 exit as improbable absent an unexpected reversal or extraordinary relief, aligning with the 80.8% "No" consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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