Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18 at 37.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 40-64 at 27.5%, reflecting his consistent early-April cadence of 20-30 posts daily as seen in prior markets resolving to the 65-89 bin for April 6-8 and 13-15 periods. This close contest hinges on weekend dynamics—Musk's viral engagement spikes during Tesla updates or xAI buzz could propel toward 90+, while quieter personal time or travel might cap below 65. No confirmed events like Cybercab milestones loom immediately, but ongoing cultural chatter around his platform innovations keeps traders alert to momentum shifts from real-time social media metrics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado65-89 38%
40-64 28%
90-114 20%
115-139 10%
$205,380 Vol.
$205,380 Vol.
Menos de 40
5%
40-64
28%
65-89
38%
90-114
20%
115-139
10%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 38%
40-64 28%
90-114 20%
115-139 10%
$205,380 Vol.
$205,380 Vol.
Menos de 40
5%
40-64
28%
65-89
38%
90-114
20%
115-139
10%
140-164
3%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Fuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18 at 37.5% implied probability, narrowly ahead of 40-64 at 27.5%, reflecting his consistent early-April cadence of 20-30 posts daily as seen in prior markets resolving to the 65-89 bin for April 6-8 and 13-15 periods. This close contest hinges on weekend dynamics—Musk's viral engagement spikes during Tesla updates or xAI buzz could propel toward 90+, while quieter personal time or travel might cap below 65. No confirmed events like Cybercab milestones loom immediately, but ongoing cultural chatter around his platform innovations keeps traders alert to momentum shifts from real-time social media metrics.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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