Trader consensus favors 65-89 posts by Elon Musk over April 16-18 at 39% implied probability, aligning with his recent moderation after a 115-post frenzy on April 13 fueled by viral exchanges on South African racism and "Kill the Boer" rhetoric, contrasted by just three posts on April 14 amid a SpaceX Starship V3 static fire milestone and one early post on April 15 celebrating the test. The 40-64 range at 28.5% reflects quieter days like April 14's dip, while historical averages of 25-35 daily engagements during tech and culture debates anchor mid-buckets as frontrunners. Upcoming catalysts include potential replies to Sen. Warren's April 14 letter critiquing X payments launch risks or Tesla/SpaceX announcements, though no confirmed events signal a volume surge. Markets acknowledge rapid shifts from Musk's unpredictable posting tied to global buzz and platform updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado65-89 39%
40-64 29%
90-114 17%
115-139 9%
NUEVO
$68,353 Vol.
NUEVO
$68,353 Vol.
18 abr 2026
Menos de 40
7%
40-64
29%
65-89
39%
90-114
17%
115-139
9%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 29%
90-114 17%
115-139 9%
NUEVO
$68,353 Vol.
NUEVO
$68,353 Vol.
18 abr 2026
Menos de 40
$14,946 Vol.
7%
40-64
$4,550 Vol.
29%
65-89
$3,130 Vol.
39%
90-114
$2,431 Vol.
17%
115-139
$3,756 Vol.
9%
140-164
$6,037 Vol.
2%
165-189
$7,419 Vol.
1%
190-214
$11,683 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,370 Vol.
<1%
240+
$9,214 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 posts by Elon Musk over April 16-18 at 39% implied probability, aligning with his recent moderation after a 115-post frenzy on April 13 fueled by viral exchanges on South African racism and "Kill the Boer" rhetoric, contrasted by just three posts on April 14 amid a SpaceX Starship V3 static fire milestone and one early post on April 15 celebrating the test. The 40-64 range at 28.5% reflects quieter days like April 14's dip, while historical averages of 25-35 daily engagements during tech and culture debates anchor mid-buckets as frontrunners. Upcoming catalysts include potential replies to Sen. Warren's April 14 letter critiquing X payments launch risks or Tesla/SpaceX announcements, though no confirmed events signal a volume surge. Markets acknowledge rapid shifts from Musk's unpredictable posting tied to global buzz and platform updates.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$68,353Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus favors 65-89 posts by Elon Musk over April 16-18 at 39% implied probability, aligning with his recent moderation after a 115-post frenzy on April 13 fueled by viral exchanges on South African racism and "Kill the Boer" rhetoric, contrasted by just three posts on April 14 amid a SpaceX Starship V3 static fire milestone and one early post on April 15 celebrating the test. The 40-64 range at 28.5% reflects quieter days like April 14's dip, while historical averages of 25-35 daily engagements during tech and culture debates anchor mid-buckets as frontrunners. Upcoming catalysts include potential replies to Sen. Warren's April 14 letter critiquing X payments launch risks or Tesla/SpaceX announcements, though no confirmed events signal a volume surge. Markets acknowledge rapid shifts from Musk's unpredictable posting tied to global buzz and platform updates.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$68,353Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 65-89 posts by Elon Musk over April 16-18 at 39% implied probability, aligning with his recent moderation after a 115-post frenzy on April 13 fueled by viral exchanges on South African racism and "Kill the Boer" rhetoric, contrasted by just three posts on April 14 amid a SpaceX Starship V3 static fire milestone and one early post on April 15 celebrating the test. The 40-64 range at 28.5% reflects quieter days like April 14's dip, while historical averages of 25-35 daily engagements during tech and culture debates anchor mid-buckets as frontrunners. Upcoming catalysts include potential replies to Sen. Warren's April 14 letter critiquing X payments launch risks or Tesla/SpaceX announcements, though no confirmed events signal a volume surge. Markets acknowledge rapid shifts from Musk's unpredictable posting tied to global buzz and platform updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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