Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 13-15 at 48.5% implied probability, with 40-64 close behind at 29%, driven by his recent moderation to 20-30 daily replies and quotes amid political rants, Tesla FSD demos, and SpaceX updates. After spiking over 300 posts on April 7 amid securities fraud rulings and SpaceX IPO speculation, volume normalized in the April 9-11 window to roughly 70-80 total per trackers, curbing bets on extremes. Weekend timing signals lighter engagement absent viral catalysts like Starship tests or culture war flare-ups, though Musk's unpredictable commentary keeps higher bins viable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado65-89 49%
40-64 29%
90-114 15%
115-139 3.6%
NUEVO
$42,140 Vol.
NUEVO
$42,140 Vol.
15 abr 2026
<40
2%
40-64
29%
65-89
49%
90-114
15%
115-139
4%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 49%
40-64 29%
90-114 15%
115-139 3.6%
NUEVO
$42,140 Vol.
NUEVO
$42,140 Vol.
15 abr 2026
<40
$4,249 Vol.
2%
40-64
$767 Vol.
29%
65-89
$2,421 Vol.
49%
90-114
$3,287 Vol.
15%
115-139
$1,317 Vol.
4%
140-164
$1,086 Vol.
1%
165-189
$5,034 Vol.
1%
190-214
$8,400 Vol.
1%
215-239
$10,866 Vol.
<1%
240+
$4,924 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 13-15 at 48.5% implied probability, with 40-64 close behind at 29%, driven by his recent moderation to 20-30 daily replies and quotes amid political rants, Tesla FSD demos, and SpaceX updates. After spiking over 300 posts on April 7 amid securities fraud rulings and SpaceX IPO speculation, volume normalized in the April 9-11 window to roughly 70-80 total per trackers, curbing bets on extremes. Weekend timing signals lighter engagement absent viral catalysts like Starship tests or culture war flare-ups, though Musk's unpredictable commentary keeps higher bins viable.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$42,140Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 13-15 at 48.5% implied probability, with 40-64 close behind at 29%, driven by his recent moderation to 20-30 daily replies and quotes amid political rants, Tesla FSD demos, and SpaceX updates. After spiking over 300 posts on April 7 amid securities fraud rulings and SpaceX IPO speculation, volume normalized in the April 9-11 window to roughly 70-80 total per trackers, curbing bets on extremes. Weekend timing signals lighter engagement absent viral catalysts like Starship tests or culture war flare-ups, though Musk's unpredictable commentary keeps higher bins viable.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 13 12:00 PM ET to April 15, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$42,140Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket positions 65-89 X posts by Elon Musk from April 13-15 at 48.5% implied probability, with 40-64 close behind at 29%, driven by his recent moderation to 20-30 daily replies and quotes amid political rants, Tesla FSD demos, and SpaceX updates. After spiking over 300 posts on April 7 amid securities fraud rulings and SpaceX IPO speculation, volume normalized in the April 9-11 window to roughly 70-80 total per trackers, curbing bets on extremes. Weekend timing signals lighter engagement absent viral catalysts like Starship tests or culture war flare-ups, though Musk's unpredictable commentary keeps higher bins viable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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