Recent TSA checkpoint data through April 9 shows daily traveler screenings averaging around 2.5 million during early April's spring break and Easter peaks, with 2.71 million on April 6 followed by a post-holiday dip to 2.21 million on April 7 before rebounding to 2.69 million on April 9. This volatility keeps trader consensus tightly clustered near 50% across the 16.5-18.5 million range for April 13-19, implying daily throughput of 2.35-2.65 million amid record spring projections of 171 million passengers for March-April. The contest remains neck-and-neck due to stabilizing post-Easter demand and easing TSA staffing strains from prior government disruptions, with separation possible from weekend surges, regional spring break waves, or unexpected weather delays.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado17-17.5m 54%
<16.5m 48%
16.5-17m 42%
17.5-18m 42%
<16.5m
48%
16.5-17m
42%
17-17.5m
54%
17.5-18m
42%
18-18.5m
39%
>18.5m
41%
17-17.5m 54%
<16.5m 48%
16.5-17m 42%
17.5-18m 42%
<16.5m
48%
16.5-17m
42%
17-17.5m
54%
17.5-18m
42%
18-18.5m
39%
>18.5m
41%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Mercado abierto: Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent TSA checkpoint data through April 9 shows daily traveler screenings averaging around 2.5 million during early April's spring break and Easter peaks, with 2.71 million on April 6 followed by a post-holiday dip to 2.21 million on April 7 before rebounding to 2.69 million on April 9. This volatility keeps trader consensus tightly clustered near 50% across the 16.5-18.5 million range for April 13-19, implying daily throughput of 2.35-2.65 million amid record spring projections of 171 million passengers for March-April. The contest remains neck-and-neck due to stabilizing post-Easter demand and easing TSA staffing strains from prior government disruptions, with separation possible from weekend surges, regional spring break waves, or unexpected weather delays.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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