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Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Market icon

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Up

39% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Up

39% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's approval rating has dipped to new second-term lows near 36% in recent Reuters/Ipsos and Gallup polls, fueling trader consensus at 60% odds for "Down" this week amid escalating tensions in the Iran war and surging gas prices. High fuel costs, now a top voter concern, have eroded support even among Republicans and independents, as shown in Rasmussen's negative Approval Index trending from -13 to -15 over the past days. Ongoing Middle East conflict debates, including ceasefire talks, compound economic pressures without signs of relief, outweighing positive executive actions like college sports policy. Upcoming fuel data and diplomatic updates could further sway polling averages.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$153
Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.President Trump's approval rating has dipped to new second-term lows near 36% in recent Reuters/Ipsos and Gallup polls, fueling trader consensus at 60% odds for "Down" this week amid escalating tensions in the Iran war and surging gas prices. High fuel costs, now a top voter concern, have eroded support even among Republicans and independents, as shown in Rasmussen's negative Approval Index trending from -13 to -15 over the past days. Ongoing Middle East conflict debates, including ceasefire talks, compound economic pressures without signs of relief, outweighing positive executive actions like college sports policy. Upcoming fuel data and diplomatic updates could further sway polling averages.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$153
Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 10, 2026, 10:06 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 17, 2026, than on April 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on April 10, 2026, than on April 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" es un mercado de predicción diario en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre si el precio de Trump approval Up or Down this week? terminará más alto ("Up") o más bajo ("Down") que su precio de apertura durante la ventana diario especificada en el título. La probabilidad actual del mercado es 61% para "Down". Un precio de 61% significa que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. Los precios se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores reaccionan a los movimientos de precio en vivo de Trump approval Up or Down this week?. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" es un mercado activo a corto plazo en Polymarket. El volumen de trading puede acumularse rápidamente a medida que avanza la ventana diario, entra temprano para ayudar a establecer las probabilidades antes de que esta ventana cierre.

Para operar en "Trump approval Up or Down this week?", decide si crees que el precio de Trump approval Up or Down this week? al mediodía ET del April 17 será más alto ("Up") o más bajo ("Down") que al mediodía ET del April 10. Compra "Up" si crees que el precio subirá, o "Down" si crees que bajará. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado es correcto, cada acción paga $1,00. Si es incorrecto, las acciones valen $0.

La probabilidad actual para "Trump approval Up or Down this week?" es 61% para "Down", lo que significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente asigna una probabilidad de 61% de que el precio de Trump approval Up or Down this week? terminará down durante esta ventana diario. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores reaccionan a los datos de precio en vivo de Trump approval Up or Down this week?. Durante un día completo, las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento en evolución a medida que se desarrolla la acción de precio del día. Vuelve con frecuencia u opera ahora antes de que la ventana cierre.

El mercado "Trump approval Up or Down this week?" se resuelve comparando el precio de Trump approval Up or Down this week? al mediodía ET del April 17 con el del mediodía ET del April 10, usando los precios de cierre de velas de 1 minuto de Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDT. Si el precio al mediodía del April 17 es mayor, el resultado es "Up"; si es menor, "Down"; si es igual, el mercado se resuelve 50-50. Puedes revisar los criterios completos en la sección "Reglas".