Trader consensus prices @khamenei_ir posts in the 5-14 range near even odds, reflecting steady archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei averaging 4-5 weekly since his late February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes and succession by son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent weeks show consistency—five posts April 1-7 (April 1, 3, 5x2, 7)—with no surge despite April 9's 40-day Tehran commemorations featuring massive rallies and new leader messaging on his separate account. The tight contest stems from low-volume uncertainty over post-memorial cadence amid Iran conflict de-escalation signals; fresh resistance front endorsements or diplomatic deadlines could push toward 10+, while leadership consolidation risks a dip under 5.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Khamenei # publica del 14 al 21 de abril de 2026?
¿Khamenei # publica del 14 al 21 de abril de 2026?
40-44 52.4%
5-9 47%
10-14 47%
15-19 45%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 abr 2026
<5
45%
5-9
47%
10-14
47%
15-19
45%
20-24
45%
25-29
44%
30-34
44%
35-39
45%
40-44
52%
45-49
2%
50-54
1%
55-59
2%
60+
43%
40-44 52.4%
5-9 47%
10-14 47%
15-19 45%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 abr 2026
<5
$0 Vol.
45%
5-9
$0 Vol.
47%
10-14
$0 Vol.
47%
15-19
$0 Vol.
45%
20-24
$0 Vol.
45%
25-29
$0 Vol.
44%
30-34
$0 Vol.
44%
35-39
$6 Vol.
45%
40-44
$37 Vol.
52%
45-49
$36 Vol.
2%
50-54
$36 Vol.
1%
55-59
$36 Vol.
2%
60+
$27 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices @khamenei_ir posts in the 5-14 range near even odds, reflecting steady archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei averaging 4-5 weekly since his late February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes and succession by son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent weeks show consistency—five posts April 1-7 (April 1, 3, 5x2, 7)—with no surge despite April 9's 40-day Tehran commemorations featuring massive rallies and new leader messaging on his separate account. The tight contest stems from low-volume uncertainty over post-memorial cadence amid Iran conflict de-escalation signals; fresh resistance front endorsements or diplomatic deadlines could push toward 10+, while leadership consolidation risks a dip under 5.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volumen
$178Fecha de finalización
21 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus prices @khamenei_ir posts in the 5-14 range near even odds, reflecting steady archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei averaging 4-5 weekly since his late February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes and succession by son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent weeks show consistency—five posts April 1-7 (April 1, 3, 5x2, 7)—with no surge despite April 9's 40-day Tehran commemorations featuring massive rallies and new leader messaging on his separate account. The tight contest stems from low-volume uncertainty over post-memorial cadence amid Iran conflict de-escalation signals; fresh resistance front endorsements or diplomatic deadlines could push toward 10+, while leadership consolidation risks a dip under 5.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$178Fecha de finalización
21 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices @khamenei_ir posts in the 5-14 range near even odds, reflecting steady archival statements from martyred Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei averaging 4-5 weekly since his late February assassination in U.S.-Israeli strikes and succession by son Mojtaba Khamenei. Recent weeks show consistency—five posts April 1-7 (April 1, 3, 5x2, 7)—with no surge despite April 9's 40-day Tehran commemorations featuring massive rallies and new leader messaging on his separate account. The tight contest stems from low-volume uncertainty over post-memorial cadence amid Iran conflict de-escalation signals; fresh resistance front endorsements or diplomatic deadlines could push toward 10+, while leadership consolidation risks a dip under 5.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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