Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X posts for April 7–14 reflects high uncertainty, with 5–9 posts (28%) edging <5 (27%) and 10–14 (26.5%) amid flat pricing across low-volume buckets, mirroring the account's steady but irregular pace of 1–3 archival statements per week since his reported martyrdom in late February 2026 US-Israel strikes. Recent activity—posts on April 3 criticizing Western savagery, April 1 affirming Iran's resilience, and March 28–26 targeting US interference—shows no acceleration or halt, sustaining the tight race. Geopolitical escalations, succession announcements by son Mojtaba Khamenei, or mourning observances could boost or suppress volume, potentially separating leaders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoKhamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?
Khamenei # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?
5-9 29%
<5 28%
10-14 27%
20-24 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
<5
28%
5-9
29%
10-14
27%
15-19
26%
20-24
27%
25-29
26%
30-34
26%
35-39
26%
40-44
26%
45-49
26%
50-54
26%
55-59
26%
60+
25%
5-9 29%
<5 28%
10-14 27%
20-24 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
<5
$0 Vol.
28%
5-9
$0 Vol.
29%
10-14
$0 Vol.
27%
15-19
$0 Vol.
26%
20-24
$0 Vol.
27%
25-29
$0 Vol.
26%
30-34
$0 Vol.
26%
35-39
$20 Vol.
26%
40-44
$20 Vol.
26%
45-49
$20 Vol.
26%
50-54
$20 Vol.
26%
55-59
$20 Vol.
26%
60+
$21 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X posts for April 7–14 reflects high uncertainty, with 5–9 posts (28%) edging <5 (27%) and 10–14 (26.5%) amid flat pricing across low-volume buckets, mirroring the account's steady but irregular pace of 1–3 archival statements per week since his reported martyrdom in late February 2026 US-Israel strikes. Recent activity—posts on April 3 criticizing Western savagery, April 1 affirming Iran's resilience, and March 28–26 targeting US interference—shows no acceleration or halt, sustaining the tight race. Geopolitical escalations, succession announcements by son Mojtaba Khamenei, or mourning observances could boost or suppress volume, potentially separating leaders.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$122Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X posts for April 7–14 reflects high uncertainty, with 5–9 posts (28%) edging <5 (27%) and 10–14 (26.5%) amid flat pricing across low-volume buckets, mirroring the account's steady but irregular pace of 1–3 archival statements per week since his reported martyrdom in late February 2026 US-Israel strikes. Recent activity—posts on April 3 criticizing Western savagery, April 1 affirming Iran's resilience, and March 28–26 targeting US interference—shows no acceleration or halt, sustaining the tight race. Geopolitical escalations, succession announcements by son Mojtaba Khamenei, or mourning observances could boost or suppress volume, potentially separating leaders.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 7, 12:00 PM ET and April 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$122Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X posts for April 7–14 reflects high uncertainty, with 5–9 posts (28%) edging <5 (27%) and 10–14 (26.5%) amid flat pricing across low-volume buckets, mirroring the account's steady but irregular pace of 1–3 archival statements per week since his reported martyrdom in late February 2026 US-Israel strikes. Recent activity—posts on April 3 criticizing Western savagery, April 1 affirming Iran's resilience, and March 28–26 targeting US interference—shows no acceleration or halt, sustaining the tight race. Geopolitical escalations, succession announcements by son Mojtaba Khamenei, or mourning observances could boost or suppress volume, potentially separating leaders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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