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Política·Aeropuerto

Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5?

Market icon
Política·Aeropuerto

Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5?

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50% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
50% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Forecasters warn of severe thunderstorms, hail, and tornado risks moving eastward through Easter Sunday April 5, overlapping with peak holiday travel demand as millions fly for the weekend. Recent disruptions include low clouds grounding flights at Northeast hubs like Boston Logan, New York, and Philadelphia on April 3 per FAA reports, plus ice storms and heavy snow in the Upper Midwest on April 2-3 causing power outages and delays. Spring 2026 patterns show volatile weather driving hundreds of cancellations daily—261 US flights on April 1 via FlightAware—amid record 171 million passengers, TSA bottlenecks, and elevated jet fuel costs. Traders eye these catalysts against baseline volumes, with resolution hinging on FlightAware's tally of cancellations within, into, or out of the US.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Forecasters warn of severe thunderstorms, hail, and tornado risks moving eastward through Easter Sunday April 5, overlapping with peak holiday travel demand as millions fly for the weekend. Recent disruptions include low clouds grounding flights at Northeast hubs like Boston Logan, New York, and Philadelphia on April 3 per FAA reports, plus ice storms and heavy snow in the Upper Midwest on April 2-3 causing power outages and delays. Spring 2026 patterns show volatile weather driving hundreds of cancellations daily—261 US flights on April 1 via FlightAware—amid record 171 million passengers, TSA bottlenecks, and elevated jet fuel costs. Traders eye these catalysts against baseline volumes, with resolution hinging on FlightAware's tally of cancellations within, into, or out of the US.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:26 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 400 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 50% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 50¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5?" es 50% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 50% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Over 400 US flights cancelled on April 5?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.