Trader consensus on US flight delays for April 4 remains tightly clustered around 4,500–7,000, mirroring historical daily averages of roughly 5,000–5,600 amid spring travel peaks, with all mid-range bins trading near 50%. Recent FAA daily reports highlight low clouds potentially impacting Northeast hubs like New York (JFK, EWR) and Philadelphia (PHL), plus thunderstorms forecast for Orlando (MCO), Detroit (DTW), and Memphis (MEM), echoing March's stormy disruptions that saw 4,000+ delays on multiple days from severe weather and high volumes post-Easter. Air traffic control staffing constraints and TSA bottlenecks add baseline pressure, but no major ground stops yet. Updated NOAA severe weather outlooks for central US tornado risks or FAA advisories could push volumes higher, while clear skies might favor sub-5,000 outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNumber of US Flights Delayed April 4?
Number of US Flights Delayed April 4?
4,500-5,000 54%
5,000-5,500 54%
5,500-6,000 54%
4,000-4,500 51%
$52 Vol.
$52 Vol.
4 abr 2026
<4,000
5%
4,000-4,500
51%
4,500-5,000
54%
5,000-5,500
54%
5,500-6,000
54%
6,000-6,500
51%
6,500-7,000
51%
>7,000
51%
4,500-5,000 54%
5,000-5,500 54%
5,500-6,000 54%
4,000-4,500 51%
$52 Vol.
$52 Vol.
4 abr 2026
<4,000
$52 Vol.
5%
4,000-4,500
$0 Vol.
51%
4,500-5,000
$0 Vol.
54%
5,000-5,500
$0 Vol.
54%
5,500-6,000
$0 Vol.
54%
6,000-6,500
$0 Vol.
51%
6,500-7,000
$0 Vol.
51%
>7,000
$0 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on US flight delays for April 4 remains tightly clustered around 4,500–7,000, mirroring historical daily averages of roughly 5,000–5,600 amid spring travel peaks, with all mid-range bins trading near 50%. Recent FAA daily reports highlight low clouds potentially impacting Northeast hubs like New York (JFK, EWR) and Philadelphia (PHL), plus thunderstorms forecast for Orlando (MCO), Detroit (DTW), and Memphis (MEM), echoing March's stormy disruptions that saw 4,000+ delays on multiple days from severe weather and high volumes post-Easter. Air traffic control staffing constraints and TSA bottlenecks add baseline pressure, but no major ground stops yet. Updated NOAA severe weather outlooks for central US tornado risks or FAA advisories could push volumes higher, while clear skies might favor sub-5,000 outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ET
Volumen
$52Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus on US flight delays for April 4 remains tightly clustered around 4,500–7,000, mirroring historical daily averages of roughly 5,000–5,600 amid spring travel peaks, with all mid-range bins trading near 50%. Recent FAA daily reports highlight low clouds potentially impacting Northeast hubs like New York (JFK, EWR) and Philadelphia (PHL), plus thunderstorms forecast for Orlando (MCO), Detroit (DTW), and Memphis (MEM), echoing March's stormy disruptions that saw 4,000+ delays on multiple days from severe weather and high volumes post-Easter. Air traffic control staffing constraints and TSA bottlenecks add baseline pressure, but no major ground stops yet. Updated NOAA severe weather outlooks for central US tornado risks or FAA advisories could push volumes higher, while clear skies might favor sub-5,000 outcomes.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 4, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$52Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:20 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on US flight delays for April 4 remains tightly clustered around 4,500–7,000, mirroring historical daily averages of roughly 5,000–5,600 amid spring travel peaks, with all mid-range bins trading near 50%. Recent FAA daily reports highlight low clouds potentially impacting Northeast hubs like New York (JFK, EWR) and Philadelphia (PHL), plus thunderstorms forecast for Orlando (MCO), Detroit (DTW), and Memphis (MEM), echoing March's stormy disruptions that saw 4,000+ delays on multiple days from severe weather and high volumes post-Easter. Air traffic control staffing constraints and TSA bottlenecks add baseline pressure, but no major ground stops yet. Updated NOAA severe weather outlooks for central US tornado risks or FAA advisories could push volumes higher, while clear skies might favor sub-5,000 outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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