Trader consensus prices all outcome ranges for US flight delays on March 29 evenly at 50%, signaling deep uncertainty clustered around 7,000-9,000 delays amid typical spring volatility. Daily averages over the past week held steady near 8,200 per FAA data, with no repeat of earlier disruptions like system outages or mass cancellations, keeping the race tight without a clear catalyst. Northeast and Midwest weather forecasts show potential for thunderstorms and wind shear at major hubs, but models remain inconclusive 24 hours out, balancing risks of spikes above 9,000 against clear skies enabling sub-7,000 tallies. Real-time FAA delay trackers and DOT dashboards, updating post-midnight March 30, will resolve the market, where early airport reports or airline advisories could rapidly separate frontrunners.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado<6,000 46%
>9,000 40%
6,000-6,500 33%
6,500-7,000 33%
<6,000
46%
6,000-6,500
33%
6,500-7,000
33%
7,000-7,500
28%
7,500-8,000
28%
8,000-8,500
33%
8,500-9,000
28%
>9,000
40%
<6,000 46%
>9,000 40%
6,000-6,500 33%
6,500-7,000 33%
<6,000
46%
6,000-6,500
33%
6,500-7,000
33%
7,000-7,500
28%
7,500-8,000
28%
8,000-8,500
33%
8,500-9,000
28%
>9,000
40%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Resolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices all outcome ranges for US flight delays on March 29 evenly at 50%, signaling deep uncertainty clustered around 7,000-9,000 delays amid typical spring volatility. Daily averages over the past week held steady near 8,200 per FAA data, with no repeat of earlier disruptions like system outages or mass cancellations, keeping the race tight without a clear catalyst. Northeast and Midwest weather forecasts show potential for thunderstorms and wind shear at major hubs, but models remain inconclusive 24 hours out, balancing risks of spikes above 9,000 against clear skies enabling sub-7,000 tallies. Real-time FAA delay trackers and DOT dashboards, updating post-midnight March 30, will resolve the market, where early airport reports or airline advisories could rapidly separate frontrunners.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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