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Política·Aeropuerto

Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?

Market icon
Política·Aeropuerto

Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

4% chance
Polymarket

$879 Vol.

4% chance
Polymarket

$879 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that US flight cancellations on March 27, 2026, fell short of 450, as real-time FlightAware data tallied just 471 disruptions within, into, or out of the United States—though traders anticipate final tallies or adjustments confirming under the threshold amid stable national airspace operations. Absent the severe storms that triggered thousands of cancellations mid-month, March 27 saw only localized ground delays from high winds at New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), per FAA reports, with top impacts at LaGuardia (103) and Chicago O'Hare (79). Confidence stems from no widespread weather events, strikes, or technical failures; realistic shifts could arise from post-midnight data revisions or unlogged carrier adjustments before the 12:00 PM ET FlightAware check on March 28.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that US flight cancellations on March 27, 2026, fell short of 450, as real-time FlightAware data tallied just 471 disruptions within, into, or out of the United States—though traders anticipate final tallies or adjustments confirming under the threshold amid stable national airspace operations. Absent the severe storms that triggered thousands of cancellations mid-month, March 27 saw only localized ground delays from high winds at New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), per FAA reports, with top impacts at LaGuardia (103) and Chicago O'Hare (79). Confidence stems from no widespread weather events, strikes, or technical failures; realistic shifts could arise from post-midnight data revisions or unlogged carrier adjustments before the 12:00 PM ET FlightAware check on March 28.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 450 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that US flight cancellations on March 27, 2026, fell short of 450, as real-time FlightAware data tallied just 471 disruptions within, into, or out of the United States—though traders anticipate final tallies or adjustments confirming under the threshold amid stable national airspace operations. Absent the severe storms that triggered thousands of cancellations mid-month, March 27 saw only localized ground delays from high winds at New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), per FAA reports, with top impacts at LaGuardia (103) and Chicago O'Hare (79). Confidence stems from no widespread weather events, strikes, or technical failures; realistic shifts could arise from post-midnight data revisions or unlogged carrier adjustments before the 12:00 PM ET FlightAware check on March 28.

Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty that US flight cancellations on March 27, 2026, fell short of 450, as real-time FlightAware data tallied just 471 disruptions within, into, or out of the United States—though traders anticipate final tallies or adjustments confirming under the threshold amid stable national airspace operations. Absent the severe storms that triggered thousands of cancellations mid-month, March 27 saw only localized ground delays from high winds at New York-area airports (EWR, JFK, LGA) and Philadelphia (PHL), per FAA reports, with top impacts at LaGuardia (103) and Chicago O'Hare (79). Confidence stems from no widespread weather events, strikes, or technical failures; realistic shifts could arise from post-midnight data revisions or unlogged carrier adjustments before the 12:00 PM ET FlightAware check on March 28.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 4% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 4¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 4% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 26, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?" es 4% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 4% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Over 450 US flights cancelled on March 27?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.