Market icon
Política·TSA

¿Más de 500 vuelos de EE. UU. cancelados el 29 de marzo?

Market icon
Política·TSA

¿Más de 500 vuelos de EE. UU. cancelados el 29 de marzo?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Sí

40% chance
Polymarket
NEW

Sí

40% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from the partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now in its sixth week since February 14 with over 300 officer resignations and callout rates up to 40%, have fueled delays through extended security lines at major hubs like LaGuardia and Chicago O'Hare, but U.S. flight cancellations have plunged to just 193 on March 28 from mid-March storm peaks exceeding 1,800. No severe weather is forecast for March 29 despite Easter weekend travel surges projected at 30 million passengers, while LaGuardia runway closure from a March 23 crash nears resolution and FAA capacity caps begin at O'Hare. President Trump's recent executive order to expedite TSA pay aims to ease pressures over 1-2 weeks, anchoring trader consensus at 60% for under 500 cancellations per FlightAware data.

Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from the partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now in its sixth week since February 14 with over 300 officer resignations and callout rates up to 40%, have fueled delays through extended security lines at major hubs like LaGuardia and Chicago O'Hare, but U.S. flight cancellations have plunged to just 193 on March 28 from mid-March storm peaks exceeding 1,800. No severe weather is forecast for March 29 despite Easter weekend travel surges projected at 30 million passengers, while LaGuardia runway closure from a March 23 crash nears resolution and FAA capacity caps begin at O'Hare. President Trump's recent executive order to expedite TSA pay aims to ease pressures over 1-2 weeks, anchoring trader consensus at 60% for under 500 cancellations per FlightAware data.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United states yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from the partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now in its sixth week since February 14 with over 300 officer resignations and callout rates up to 40%, have fueled delays through extended security lines at major hubs like LaGuardia and Chicago O'Hare, but U.S. flight cancellations have plunged to just 193 on March 28 from mid-March storm peaks exceeding 1,800. No severe weather is forecast for March 29 despite Easter weekend travel surges projected at 30 million passengers, while LaGuardia runway closure from a March 23 crash nears resolution and FAA capacity caps begin at O'Hare. President Trump's recent executive order to expedite TSA pay aims to ease pressures over 1-2 weeks, anchoring trader consensus at 60% for under 500 cancellations per FlightAware data.

Ongoing TSA staffing shortages from the partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now in its sixth week since February 14 with over 300 officer resignations and callout rates up to 40%, have fueled delays through extended security lines at major hubs like LaGuardia and Chicago O'Hare, but U.S. flight cancellations have plunged to just 193 on March 28 from mid-March storm peaks exceeding 1,800. No severe weather is forecast for March 29 despite Easter weekend travel surges projected at 30 million passengers, while LaGuardia runway closure from a March 23 crash nears resolution and FAA capacity caps begin at O'Hare. President Trump's recent executive order to expedite TSA pay aims to ease pressures over 1-2 weeks, anchoring trader consensus at 60% for under 500 cancellations per FlightAware data.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Más de 500 vuelos de EE. UU. cancelados el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Más de 500 vuelos en EE. UU. cancelados el 29 de marzo?" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 40¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Más de 500 vuelos de EE. UU. cancelados el 29 de marzo?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Más de 500 vuelos de EE. UU. cancelados el 29 de marzo?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Más de 500 vuelos de EE. UU. cancelados el 29 de marzo?" es "¿Más de 500 vuelos en EE. UU. cancelados el 29 de marzo?" con 40%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Más de 500 vuelos de EE. UU. cancelados el 29 de marzo?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.