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Política·Apagado Del Gobierno

Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?

Market icon
Política·Apagado Del Gobierno

Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 30

<6,000 50%

6,000-6,500 32%

6,500-7,000 32%

>9,000 32%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

<6,000 50%

6,000-6,500 32%

6,500-7,000 32%

>9,000 32%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

<6,000

$0 Vol.

50%

6,000-6,500

$0 Vol.

32%

6,500-7,000

$0 Vol.

32%

7,000-7,500

$0 Vol.

31%

7,500-8,000

$0 Vol.

31%

8,000-8,500

$0 Vol.

31%

8,500-9,000

$0 Vol.

31%

>9,000

$0 Vol.

32%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus favors under 6,000 US flight delays at 50% implied probability, reflecting a relatively stable National Airspace System amid spring break travel volume and partial government shutdown impacts on TSA staffing, which have caused chronic checkpoint delays but not widespread cascading effects. Current FlightAware statistics show around 5,600-6,150 delays so far, aligning with the monthly average of roughly 5,600, bolstered by the absence of severe weather after mid-March storms that spiked counts above 8,000. FAA's March 27 advisory noted potential high winds in New York and Philadelphia plus low ceilings at San Diego, but no escalation occurred, while a brief late-evening ground stop at DC-area airports (DCA, IAD, BWI) due to a chemical odor at Potomac TRACON resolved quickly without national ripple. Localized constraints persist at high-traffic hubs like Newark, but traders see limited upside risk for higher bins absent new catalysts like thunderstorms or air traffic volume surges.[[1]](https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/today)[[2]](https://kesq.com/news/national-world/cnn-national/2026/03/23/tracking-us-flight-delays-and-cancellations-in-charts)[[3]](https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/faa-daily-air-traffic-report)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2037684422690885895)

Trader consensus favors under 6,000 US flight delays at 50% implied probability, reflecting a relatively stable National Airspace System amid spring break travel volume and partial government shutdown impacts on TSA staffing, which have caused chronic checkpoint delays but not widespread cascading effects. Current FlightAware statistics show around 5,600-6,150 delays so far, aligning with the monthly average of roughly 5,600, bolstered by the absence of severe weather after mid-March storms that spiked counts above 8,000. FAA's March 27 advisory noted potential high winds in New York and Philadelphia plus low ceilings at San Diego, but no escalation occurred, while a brief late-evening ground stop at DC-area airports (DCA, IAD, BWI) due to a chemical odor at Potomac TRACON resolved quickly without national ripple. Localized constraints persist at high-traffic hubs like Newark, but traders see limited upside risk for higher bins absent new catalysts like thunderstorms or air traffic volume surges.[[1]](https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/today)[[2]](https://kesq.com/news/national-world/cnn-national/2026/03/23/tracking-us-flight-delays-and-cancellations-in-charts)[[3]](https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/faa-daily-air-traffic-report)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2037684422690885895)

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus favors under 6,000 US flight delays at 50% implied probability, reflecting a relatively stable National Airspace System amid spring break travel volume and partial government shutdown impacts on TSA staffing, which have caused chronic checkpoint delays but not widespread cascading effects. Current FlightAware statistics show around 5,600-6,150 delays so far, aligning with the monthly average of roughly 5,600, bolstered by the absence of severe weather after mid-March storms that spiked counts above 8,000. FAA's March 27 advisory noted potential high winds in New York and Philadelphia plus low ceilings at San Diego, but no escalation occurred, while a brief late-evening ground stop at DC-area airports (DCA, IAD, BWI) due to a chemical odor at Potomac TRACON resolved quickly without national ripple. Localized constraints persist at high-traffic hubs like Newark, but traders see limited upside risk for higher bins absent new catalysts like thunderstorms or air traffic volume surges.[[1]](https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/today)[[2]](https://kesq.com/news/national-world/cnn-national/2026/03/23/tracking-us-flight-delays-and-cancellations-in-charts)[[3]](https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/faa-daily-air-traffic-report)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2037684422690885895)

Trader consensus favors under 6,000 US flight delays at 50% implied probability, reflecting a relatively stable National Airspace System amid spring break travel volume and partial government shutdown impacts on TSA staffing, which have caused chronic checkpoint delays but not widespread cascading effects. Current FlightAware statistics show around 5,600-6,150 delays so far, aligning with the monthly average of roughly 5,600, bolstered by the absence of severe weather after mid-March storms that spiked counts above 8,000. FAA's March 27 advisory noted potential high winds in New York and Philadelphia plus low ceilings at San Diego, but no escalation occurred, while a brief late-evening ground stop at DC-area airports (DCA, IAD, BWI) due to a chemical odor at Potomac TRACON resolved quickly without national ripple. Localized constraints persist at high-traffic hubs like Newark, but traders see limited upside risk for higher bins absent new catalysts like thunderstorms or air traffic volume surges.[[1]](https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/today)[[2]](https://kesq.com/news/national-world/cnn-national/2026/03/23/tracking-us-flight-delays-and-cancellations-in-charts)[[3]](https://www.faa.gov/newsroom/faa-daily-air-traffic-report)[[4]](https://x.com/i/status/2037684422690885895)

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<6,000" con 50%, seguido de "6,000-6,500" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?" es "<6,000" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "6,000-6,500" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Number of US Flights Delayed March 28?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.