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icon for ¿Netanyahu fuera por...?

¿Netanyahu fuera por...?

icon for ¿Netanyahu fuera por...?

¿Netanyahu fuera por...?

dic 31

dic 31

$118,593,675 Vol.

30 abr 2026
Polymarket

$118,593,675 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de abril

$8,929,583 Vol.

<1%

30 de junio

$4,300,881 Vol.

6%

31 de diciembre

$1,157,407 Vol.

44%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 44% implied probability to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ceasing to hold office by December 31, 2026—the leading outcome—reflecting polls showing the opposition bloc ahead of scheduled October legislative elections under Israel's proportional representation system, where Netanyahu's Likud faces challenges securing a coalition majority. Recent mass protests in Tel Aviv on April 18 demanded his resignation over October 7 security failures and judicial reform disputes, while his April 24 announcement of successful early-stage prostate cancer treatment via radiation has not triggered health-related exit speculation. Coalition stability was bolstered by the late-March passage of the 2026 state budget, averting collapse after prior ultra-Orthodox party exits; near-term risks remain low, with April 30 at under 1% and June 30 at 6%, pending potential no-confidence votes or snap election triggers from partner defections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$118,593,675
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 44% implied probability to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ceasing to hold office by December 31, 2026—the leading outcome—reflecting polls showing the opposition bloc ahead of scheduled October legislative elections under Israel's proportional representation system, where Netanyahu's Likud faces challenges securing a coalition majority. Recent mass protests in Tel Aviv on April 18 demanded his resignation over October 7 security failures and judicial reform disputes, while his April 24 announcement of successful early-stage prostate cancer treatment via radiation has not triggered health-related exit speculation. Coalition stability was bolstered by the late-March passage of the 2026 state budget, averting collapse after prior ultra-Orthodox party exits; near-term risks remain low, with April 30 at under 1% and June 30 at 6%, pending potential no-confidence votes or snap election triggers from partner defections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$118,593,675
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 18, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu ceases to be Prime Minister of Israel for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre" con 44%, seguido de "30 de junio" con 6%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" ha generado $118.6 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 24, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" es "31 de diciembre" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de junio" con 6%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Netanyahu fuera por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.