Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition government stabilized after passing the 2026 budget on March 30, averting an automatic snap election and keeping short-term odds low at 6% for exit by June 30. However, recent polls show his bloc hovering around 50 Knesset seats—short of a 61-seat majority—with Likud steady at 25 amid opposition gains from figures like Naftali Bennett and Gadi Eisenkot. The April 24 disclosure of successful early-stage prostate cancer treatment via radiation, delayed for security reasons, introduces health-related uncertainty. Legislative elections are mandated by October 27, fueling 44% trader consensus for Netanyahu ceasing to serve as prime minister by December 31, barring coalition fractures, no-confidence votes, or war escalations with Iran and Hezbollah.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Netanyahu fuera por...?
¿Netanyahu fuera por...?
$118,564,874 Vol.
30 de abril
<1%
30 de junio
6%
31 de diciembre
44%
$118,564,874 Vol.
30 de abril
<1%
30 de junio
6%
31 de diciembre
44%
An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Benjamin Netanyahu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu and the government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's coalition government stabilized after passing the 2026 budget on March 30, averting an automatic snap election and keeping short-term odds low at 6% for exit by June 30. However, recent polls show his bloc hovering around 50 Knesset seats—short of a 61-seat majority—with Likud steady at 25 amid opposition gains from figures like Naftali Bennett and Gadi Eisenkot. The April 24 disclosure of successful early-stage prostate cancer treatment via radiation, delayed for security reasons, introduces health-related uncertainty. Legislative elections are mandated by October 27, fueling 44% trader consensus for Netanyahu ceasing to serve as prime minister by December 31, barring coalition fractures, no-confidence votes, or war escalations with Iran and Hezbollah.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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