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¿Moneda estadounidense con la firma de Trump emitida antes del 30 de abril de 2026?

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¿Moneda estadounidense con la firma de Trump emitida antes del 30 de abril de 2026?

13% chance
Polymarket
NEW

13% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States paper currency bearing the signature of Donald Trump is officially printed or enters circulation by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Officially printed” refers to confirmed production of qualifying currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, as evidenced by an official announcement, publication, or direct confirmation from the Bureau or the U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Enters circulation” refers to qualifying currency being distributed into the U.S. monetary system and made available for public use by financial institutions or the Federal Reserve System. Announcements of plans, proposals, design previews, or authorizations without confirmed printing or circulation will not qualify. Digital images, mockups, commemorative items, coins, or non-circulating legal tender will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury and/or the Bureau of Engraving and Printing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump's transition team has announced no plans or executive actions to issue US currency bearing his signature, with recent nominee Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary positioned to uphold standard protocol where only the Treasury Secretary and Treasurer sign notes via the Bureau of Engraving and Printing. New currency series historically require 18-24 months for design, approval, and production, making a rollout by April 30, 2026, logistically challenging without unprecedented policy shifts. Traders' 89% implied probability on "No" reflects this entrenched practice and lack of signals amid focus on cabinet confirmations, tax policy, and tariffs, though confirmation hearings early next year could introduce changes.

President-elect Donald Trump's transition team has announced no plans or executive actions to issue US currency bearing his signature, with recent nominee Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary positioned to uphold standard protocol where only the Treasury Secretary and Treasurer sign notes via the Bureau of Engraving and Printing. New currency series historically require 18-24 months for design, approval, and production, making a rollout by April 30, 2026, logistically challenging without unprecedented policy shifts. Traders' 89% implied probability on "No" reflects this entrenched practice and lack of signals amid focus on cabinet confirmations, tax policy, and tariffs, though confirmation hearings early next year could introduce changes.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States paper currency bearing the signature of Donald Trump is officially printed or enters circulation by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Officially printed” refers to confirmed production of qualifying currency by the Bureau of Engraving and Printing, as evidenced by an official announcement, publication, or direct confirmation from the Bureau or the U.S. Department of the Treasury. “Enters circulation” refers to qualifying currency being distributed into the U.S. monetary system and made available for public use by financial institutions or the Federal Reserve System. Announcements of plans, proposals, design previews, or authorizations without confirmed printing or circulation will not qualify. Digital images, mockups, commemorative items, coins, or non-circulating legal tender will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury and/or the Bureau of Engraving and Printing; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President-elect Donald Trump's transition team has announced no plans or executive actions to issue US currency bearing his signature, with recent nominee Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary positioned to uphold standard protocol where only the Treasury Secretary and Treasurer sign notes via the Bureau of Engraving and Printing. New currency series historically require 18-24 months for design, approval, and production, making a rollout by April 30, 2026, logistically challenging without unprecedented policy shifts. Traders' 89% implied probability on "No" reflects this entrenched practice and lack of signals amid focus on cabinet confirmations, tax policy, and tariffs, though confirmation hearings early next year could introduce changes.

President-elect Donald Trump's transition team has announced no plans or executive actions to issue US currency bearing his signature, with recent nominee Scott Bessent for Treasury Secretary positioned to uphold standard protocol where only the Treasury Secretary and Treasurer sign notes via the Bureau of Engraving and Printing. New currency series historically require 18-24 months for design, approval, and production, making a rollout by April 30, 2026, logistically challenging without unprecedented policy shifts. Traders' 89% implied probability on "No" reflects this entrenched practice and lack of signals amid focus on cabinet confirmations, tax policy, and tariffs, though confirmation hearings early next year could introduce changes.

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

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Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Moneda estadounidense con la firma de Trump emitida antes del 30 de abril de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Moneda estadounidense con la firma de Trump emitida antes del 30 de abril de 2026?" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 12¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Moneda estadounidense con la firma de Trump emitida antes del 30 de abril de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Moneda estadounidense con la firma de Trump emitida antes del 30 de abril de 2026?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Moneda estadounidense con la firma de Trump emitida antes del 30 de abril de 2026?" es "¿Moneda estadounidense con la firma de Trump emitida antes del 30 de abril de 2026?" con 12%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 12% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Moneda estadounidense con la firma de Trump emitida antes del 30 de abril de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.