Flight cancellation traders on Polymarket give "No" a slim 51% edge for fewer than 500 US flights scrapped on March 30, reflecting steady spring weather forecasts across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas-Fort Worth, with no severe storms or nor'easters predicted in the latest NOAA models. Recent days saw under 300 cancellations daily amid minor delays from FAA staffing shortages and Boeing mechanical issues, keeping volumes below the threshold historically hit during blizzards or summer thunderstorms. The tight race stems from tail risks like sudden airline IT failures—echoing Southwest's 2022 meltdown—or unforecasted Midwest turbulence, which could surge numbers above 500; conversely, clear skies through midnight ET would solidify the "No" consensus as the FAA tallies finalize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Más de 500 vuelos de EE. UU. cancelados el 30 de marzo?
¿Más de 500 vuelos de EE. UU. cancelados el 30 de marzo?
Sí
NEW
NEW
Mar 30, 2026
Sí
NEW
NEW
Mar 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Flight cancellation traders on Polymarket give "No" a slim 51% edge for fewer than 500 US flights scrapped on March 30, reflecting steady spring weather forecasts across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas-Fort Worth, with no severe storms or nor'easters predicted in the latest NOAA models. Recent days saw under 300 cancellations daily amid minor delays from FAA staffing shortages and Boeing mechanical issues, keeping volumes below the threshold historically hit during blizzards or summer thunderstorms. The tight race stems from tail risks like sudden airline IT failures—echoing Southwest's 2022 meltdown—or unforecasted Midwest turbulence, which could surge numbers above 500; conversely, clear skies through midnight ET would solidify the "No" consensus as the FAA tallies finalize.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Mercado abierto: Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".Flight cancellation traders on Polymarket give "No" a slim 51% edge for fewer than 500 US flights scrapped on March 30, reflecting steady spring weather forecasts across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas-Fort Worth, with no severe storms or nor'easters predicted in the latest NOAA models. Recent days saw under 300 cancellations daily amid minor delays from FAA staffing shortages and Boeing mechanical issues, keeping volumes below the threshold historically hit during blizzards or summer thunderstorms. The tight race stems from tail risks like sudden airline IT failures—echoing Southwest's 2022 meltdown—or unforecasted Midwest turbulence, which could surge numbers above 500; conversely, clear skies through midnight ET would solidify the "No" consensus as the FAA tallies finalize.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware is greater than 500 when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total cancellations within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to "No".
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
Mar 30, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 27, 2026, 6:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x65070BE91...Flight cancellation traders on Polymarket give "No" a slim 51% edge for fewer than 500 US flights scrapped on March 30, reflecting steady spring weather forecasts across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and Dallas-Fort Worth, with no severe storms or nor'easters predicted in the latest NOAA models. Recent days saw under 300 cancellations daily amid minor delays from FAA staffing shortages and Boeing mechanical issues, keeping volumes below the threshold historically hit during blizzards or summer thunderstorms. The tight race stems from tail risks like sudden airline IT failures—echoing Southwest's 2022 meltdown—or unforecasted Midwest turbulence, which could surge numbers above 500; conversely, clear skies through midnight ET would solidify the "No" consensus as the FAA tallies finalize.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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