Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty for US flight delays on April 7, with even pricing across bins from under 4,000 to over 6,500, driven by volatile spring weather patterns and no dominant forecast yet solidified. Recent FAA reports highlight low clouds disrupting Northeast hubs like Boston, New York, and Philadelphia on April 3, while early April severe weather risks—tornadoes, hail, and thunderstorms across Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Midwest, and Southeast—mirror March's 5,000+ delay days from storms. Ongoing Southwest Airlines network issues and persistent air traffic control staffing constraints at airports like Newark add baseline pressure, keeping totals historically variable around 4,000–7,000 daily. Confirmation of ground stops, intensified thunderstorms, or clear conditions could sharply separate outcomes before resolution via FlightAware's total delays figure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNumber of US Flights Delayed April 7?
Number of US Flights Delayed April 7?
<4,000 48%
4,000-4,500 48%
4,500-5,000 48%
5,000-5,500 48%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
<4,000
48%
4,000-4,500
48%
4,500-5,000
48%
5,000-5,500
48%
5,500-6,000
48%
6,000-6,500
48%
6,500-7,000
48%
>7,000
48%
<4,000 48%
4,000-4,500 48%
4,500-5,000 48%
5,000-5,500 48%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
<4,000
$0 Vol.
48%
4,000-4,500
$0 Vol.
48%
4,500-5,000
$0 Vol.
48%
5,000-5,500
$0 Vol.
48%
5,500-6,000
$0 Vol.
48%
6,000-6,500
$0 Vol.
48%
6,500-7,000
$0 Vol.
48%
>7,000
$0 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty for US flight delays on April 7, with even pricing across bins from under 4,000 to over 6,500, driven by volatile spring weather patterns and no dominant forecast yet solidified. Recent FAA reports highlight low clouds disrupting Northeast hubs like Boston, New York, and Philadelphia on April 3, while early April severe weather risks—tornadoes, hail, and thunderstorms across Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Midwest, and Southeast—mirror March's 5,000+ delay days from storms. Ongoing Southwest Airlines network issues and persistent air traffic control staffing constraints at airports like Newark add baseline pressure, keeping totals historically variable around 4,000–7,000 daily. Confirmation of ground stops, intensified thunderstorms, or clear conditions could sharply separate outcomes before resolution via FlightAware's total delays figure.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty for US flight delays on April 7, with even pricing across bins from under 4,000 to over 6,500, driven by volatile spring weather patterns and no dominant forecast yet solidified. Recent FAA reports highlight low clouds disrupting Northeast hubs like Boston, New York, and Philadelphia on April 3, while early April severe weather risks—tornadoes, hail, and thunderstorms across Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Midwest, and Southeast—mirror March's 5,000+ delay days from storms. Ongoing Southwest Airlines network issues and persistent air traffic control staffing constraints at airports like Newark add baseline pressure, keeping totals historically variable around 4,000–7,000 daily. Confirmation of ground stops, intensified thunderstorms, or clear conditions could sharply separate outcomes before resolution via FlightAware's total delays figure.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 7, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:24 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus reflects high uncertainty for US flight delays on April 7, with even pricing across bins from under 4,000 to over 6,500, driven by volatile spring weather patterns and no dominant forecast yet solidified. Recent FAA reports highlight low clouds disrupting Northeast hubs like Boston, New York, and Philadelphia on April 3, while early April severe weather risks—tornadoes, hail, and thunderstorms across Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, Midwest, and Southeast—mirror March's 5,000+ delay days from storms. Ongoing Southwest Airlines network issues and persistent air traffic control staffing constraints at airports like Newark add baseline pressure, keeping totals historically variable around 4,000–7,000 daily. Confirmation of ground stops, intensified thunderstorms, or clear conditions could sharply separate outcomes before resolution via FlightAware's total delays figure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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