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Política·Trump

¿Otro miembro del Estado Mayor Conjunto de los EE. UU. fuera para el 30 de abril?

Market icon
Política·Trump

¿Otro miembro del Estado Mayor Conjunto de los EE. UU. fuera para el 30 de abril?

Sí

43% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Sí

43% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting member of the United States Joint Chiefs of Staff ceases to hold their respective position on the Joint Chiefs of Staff for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Positions on the Joint Chiefs of Staff include: Chairman, Vice Chairman, Chief of Staff of the Army, Commandant of the Marine Corps, Chief of Naval Operations, Chief of Staff of the Air Force, Chief of Space Operations, and Chief of the National Guard Bureau. Sitting members include only formally appointed members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff who have assumed their position. If an individual is formally appointed to one of the above positions and assumes office during this market’s timeframe, that individual will thereafter be considered a sitting member. Any acting, interim, or temporary holder of a position on the Joint Chiefs of Staff does not qualify, unless they are subsequently formally appointed and assume the position. An announcement of a sitting member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If a sitting member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's ouster of Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George on April 2—effective immediately amid the ongoing Iran conflict—marks the latest shakeup in Joint Chiefs of Staff leadership, following earlier removals of Chairman Gen. CQ Brown in February 2025, Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Lisa Franchetti, and other senior officers. With "No" at a slim 50.5% implied probability for another departure by April 30, trader consensus highlights the competitive balance: recent appointees like Chairman Gen. Dan Caine appear aligned with administration priorities, tempering expectations of further purges, while persistent civilian-military tensions or congressional hearings could prompt additional exits. Escalation in Iran operations or opposition from remaining service chiefs might tip odds toward "Yes."

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting member of the United States Joint Chiefs of Staff ceases to hold their respective position on the Joint Chiefs of Staff for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Positions on the Joint Chiefs of Staff include: Chairman, Vice Chairman, Chief of Staff of the Army, Commandant of the Marine Corps, Chief of Naval Operations, Chief of Staff of the Air Force, Chief of Space Operations, and Chief of the National Guard Bureau.

Sitting members include only formally appointed members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff who have assumed their position. If an individual is formally appointed to one of the above positions and assumes office during this market’s timeframe, that individual will thereafter be considered a sitting member. Any acting, interim, or temporary holder of a position on the Joint Chiefs of Staff does not qualify, unless they are subsequently formally appointed and assume the position.

An announcement of a sitting member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If a sitting member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting member of the United States Joint Chiefs of Staff ceases to hold their respective position on the Joint Chiefs of Staff for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Positions on the Joint Chiefs of Staff include: Chairman, Vice Chairman, Chief of Staff of the Army, Commandant of the Marine Corps, Chief of Naval Operations, Chief of Staff of the Air Force, Chief of Space Operations, and Chief of the National Guard Bureau. Sitting members include only formally appointed members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff who have assumed their position. If an individual is formally appointed to one of the above positions and assumes office during this market’s timeframe, that individual will thereafter be considered a sitting member. Any acting, interim, or temporary holder of a position on the Joint Chiefs of Staff does not qualify, unless they are subsequently formally appointed and assume the position. An announcement of a sitting member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If a sitting member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting member of the United States Joint Chiefs of Staff ceases to hold their respective position on the Joint Chiefs of Staff for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Positions on the Joint Chiefs of Staff include: Chairman, Vice Chairman, Chief of Staff of the Army, Commandant of the Marine Corps, Chief of Naval Operations, Chief of Staff of the Air Force, Chief of Space Operations, and Chief of the National Guard Bureau. Sitting members include only formally appointed members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff who have assumed their position. If an individual is formally appointed to one of the above positions and assumes office during this market’s timeframe, that individual will thereafter be considered a sitting member. Any acting, interim, or temporary holder of a position on the Joint Chiefs of Staff does not qualify, unless they are subsequently formally appointed and assume the position. An announcement of a sitting member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If a sitting member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth's ouster of Army Chief of Staff Gen. Randy George on April 2—effective immediately amid the ongoing Iran conflict—marks the latest shakeup in Joint Chiefs of Staff leadership, following earlier removals of Chairman Gen. CQ Brown in February 2025, Chief of Naval Operations Adm. Lisa Franchetti, and other senior officers. With "No" at a slim 50.5% implied probability for another departure by April 30, trader consensus highlights the competitive balance: recent appointees like Chairman Gen. Dan Caine appear aligned with administration priorities, tempering expectations of further purges, while persistent civilian-military tensions or congressional hearings could prompt additional exits. Escalation in Iran operations or opposition from remaining service chiefs might tip odds toward "Yes."

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting member of the United States Joint Chiefs of Staff ceases to hold their respective position on the Joint Chiefs of Staff for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Positions on the Joint Chiefs of Staff include: Chairman, Vice Chairman, Chief of Staff of the Army, Commandant of the Marine Corps, Chief of Naval Operations, Chief of Staff of the Air Force, Chief of Space Operations, and Chief of the National Guard Bureau.

Sitting members include only formally appointed members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff who have assumed their position. If an individual is formally appointed to one of the above positions and assumes office during this market’s timeframe, that individual will thereafter be considered a sitting member. Any acting, interim, or temporary holder of a position on the Joint Chiefs of Staff does not qualify, unless they are subsequently formally appointed and assume the position.

An announcement of a sitting member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If a sitting member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any sitting member of the United States Joint Chiefs of Staff ceases to hold their respective position on the Joint Chiefs of Staff for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Positions on the Joint Chiefs of Staff include: Chairman, Vice Chairman, Chief of Staff of the Army, Commandant of the Marine Corps, Chief of Naval Operations, Chief of Staff of the Air Force, Chief of Space Operations, and Chief of the National Guard Bureau. Sitting members include only formally appointed members of the Joint Chiefs of Staff who have assumed their position. If an individual is formally appointed to one of the above positions and assumes office during this market’s timeframe, that individual will thereafter be considered a sitting member. Any acting, interim, or temporary holder of a position on the Joint Chiefs of Staff does not qualify, unless they are subsequently formally appointed and assume the position. An announcement of a sitting member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If a sitting member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Otro miembro del Estado Mayor Conjunto de los EE. UU. fuera para el 30 de abril?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "¿Otro miembro del Estado Mayor Conjunto de EE. UU. fuera antes del 30 de abril?" con 43%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Otro miembro del Estado Mayor Conjunto de los EE. UU. fuera para el 30 de abril?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 3, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Otro miembro del Estado Mayor Conjunto de los EE. UU. fuera para el 30 de abril?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Otro miembro del Estado Mayor Conjunto de los EE. UU. fuera para el 30 de abril?" es "¿Otro miembro del Estado Mayor Conjunto de EE. UU. fuera antes del 30 de abril?" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Otro miembro del Estado Mayor Conjunto de los EE. UU. fuera para el 30 de abril?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.