Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's X posts from April 2-4 at 65-89 (37% implied probability) and 40-64 (29%), reflecting his recent moderated pace of 20-30 daily engagements amid a quieter late-March period, down from the month's overall average exceeding 40 posts per day. This competitive split underscores variability in Musk's social media rhythm, influenced by Tesla developments, SpaceX updates, and pop culture moments like viral memes or political discourse that can surge volume. Absent confirmed catalysts—no major announcements or controversies in the past 48 hours—key swing factors include weekend posting dips or unexpected xAI/Tesla news, with real-time trackers like XTracker poised to signal shifts before resolution on April 5.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 2 al 4 de abril de 2026?
¿Elon Musk # tuitea del 2 al 4 de abril de 2026?
65-89 38%
40-64 29%
90-114 22%
115-139 7%
NUEVO
$109,186 Vol.
NUEVO
$109,186 Vol.
4 abr 2026
<40
4%
40-64
29%
65-89
38%
90-114
22%
115-139
7%
140-164
1%
165-189
1%
190-214
1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 38%
40-64 29%
90-114 22%
115-139 7%
NUEVO
$109,186 Vol.
NUEVO
$109,186 Vol.
4 abr 2026
<40
$11,637 Vol.
4%
40-64
$5,646 Vol.
29%
65-89
$6,390 Vol.
38%
90-114
$5,341 Vol.
22%
115-139
$8,856 Vol.
7%
140-164
$14,227 Vol.
1%
165-189
$12,473 Vol.
1%
190-214
$11,047 Vol.
1%
215-239
$18,512 Vol.
<1%
240+
$15,127 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's X posts from April 2-4 at 65-89 (37% implied probability) and 40-64 (29%), reflecting his recent moderated pace of 20-30 daily engagements amid a quieter late-March period, down from the month's overall average exceeding 40 posts per day. This competitive split underscores variability in Musk's social media rhythm, influenced by Tesla developments, SpaceX updates, and pop culture moments like viral memes or political discourse that can surge volume. Absent confirmed catalysts—no major announcements or controversies in the past 48 hours—key swing factors include weekend posting dips or unexpected xAI/Tesla news, with real-time trackers like XTracker poised to signal shifts before resolution on April 5.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$109,186Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's X posts from April 2-4 at 65-89 (37% implied probability) and 40-64 (29%), reflecting his recent moderated pace of 20-30 daily engagements amid a quieter late-March period, down from the month's overall average exceeding 40 posts per day. This competitive split underscores variability in Musk's social media rhythm, influenced by Tesla developments, SpaceX updates, and pop culture moments like viral memes or political discourse that can surge volume. Absent confirmed catalysts—no major announcements or controversies in the past 48 hours—key swing factors include weekend posting dips or unexpected xAI/Tesla news, with real-time trackers like XTracker poised to signal shifts before resolution on April 5.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 2 12:00 PM ET to April 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$109,186Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 12:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs Elon Musk's X posts from April 2-4 at 65-89 (37% implied probability) and 40-64 (29%), reflecting his recent moderated pace of 20-30 daily engagements amid a quieter late-March period, down from the month's overall average exceeding 40 posts per day. This competitive split underscores variability in Musk's social media rhythm, influenced by Tesla developments, SpaceX updates, and pop culture moments like viral memes or political discourse that can surge volume. Absent confirmed catalysts—no major announcements or controversies in the past 48 hours—key swing factors include weekend posting dips or unexpected xAI/Tesla news, with real-time trackers like XTracker poised to signal shifts before resolution on April 5.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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