Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts from March 30 to April 1 at 65-89 (38.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 40-64 (32.5%), mirroring his recent daily average of 25-30 amid fluctuating engagement. The past week's activity—peaking at 43 posts on March 26 before tapering to 27 on the 28th and just 9 on the 29th—anchors the tight race, with no major Tesla, SpaceX, or Grok catalysts in the last 48 hours to ignite a surge. Competitive dynamics hinge on weekday patterns and surprise viral moments, as historical spikes (e.g., 37-43 mid-week) versus quiet weekends create uncertainty; upcoming FSD or Starship buzz could push toward 90+, but steady pace favors the mid-bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado65-89 39%
40-64 33%
90-114 16%
115-139 7%
NEW
$71,221 Vol.
NEW
$71,221 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<40
6%
40-64
33%
65-89
39%
90-114
16%
115-139
7%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
Más de 240
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 33%
90-114 16%
115-139 7%
NEW
$71,221 Vol.
NEW
$71,221 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
<40
$10,621 Vol.
6%
40-64
$3,146 Vol.
33%
65-89
$1,963 Vol.
39%
90-114
$1,764 Vol.
16%
115-139
$2,822 Vol.
7%
140-164
$4,110 Vol.
2%
165-189
$3,460 Vol.
1%
190-214
$10,110 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$12,458 Vol.
<1%
Más de 240
$20,767 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts from March 30 to April 1 at 65-89 (38.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 40-64 (32.5%), mirroring his recent daily average of 25-30 amid fluctuating engagement. The past week's activity—peaking at 43 posts on March 26 before tapering to 27 on the 28th and just 9 on the 29th—anchors the tight race, with no major Tesla, SpaceX, or Grok catalysts in the last 48 hours to ignite a surge. Competitive dynamics hinge on weekday patterns and surprise viral moments, as historical spikes (e.g., 37-43 mid-week) versus quiet weekends create uncertainty; upcoming FSD or Starship buzz could push toward 90+, but steady pace favors the mid-bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volumen
$71,221Fecha de finalización
Apr 1, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts from March 30 to April 1 at 65-89 (38.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 40-64 (32.5%), mirroring his recent daily average of 25-30 amid fluctuating engagement. The past week's activity—peaking at 43 posts on March 26 before tapering to 27 on the 28th and just 9 on the 29th—anchors the tight race, with no major Tesla, SpaceX, or Grok catalysts in the last 48 hours to ignite a surge. Competitive dynamics hinge on weekday patterns and surprise viral moments, as historical spikes (e.g., 37-43 mid-week) versus quiet weekends create uncertainty; upcoming FSD or Starship buzz could push toward 90+, but steady pace favors the mid-bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 30 12:00 PM ET to April 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$71,221Fecha de finalización
Apr 1, 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 28, 2026, 12:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Elon Musk's X posts from March 30 to April 1 at 65-89 (38.5% implied probability), narrowly ahead of 40-64 (32.5%), mirroring his recent daily average of 25-30 amid fluctuating engagement. The past week's activity—peaking at 43 posts on March 26 before tapering to 27 on the 28th and just 9 on the 29th—anchors the tight race, with no major Tesla, SpaceX, or Grok catalysts in the last 48 hours to ignite a surge. Competitive dynamics hinge on weekday patterns and surprise viral moments, as historical spikes (e.g., 37-43 mid-week) versus quiet weekends create uncertainty; upcoming FSD or Starship buzz could push toward 90+, but steady pace favors the mid-bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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