Market icon

¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?

Market icon

¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,495 Vol.

Polymarket

30 de abril

$169 Vol.

8%

30 de junio

$1,326 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Mobile's T1 smartphone, a gold-hued $499 device hyped as an American-made alternative since its June 2025 announcement alongside the family's MVNO service, has faced repeated delays from an initial August target through multiple 2025 postponements into early 2026, eroding trader confidence amid preorder deposits and refurbished phone sales. Recent FCC certification of a matching device, reported within hours, has sparked fresh momentum, implying trader consensus on an imminent Q1 launch as March ends. Cryptic White House social posts fuel speculation of an announcement, but historical slippage and unverified specs underscore resolution risks before any deadline.[[1]](https://www.theverge.com/tech/902399/trump-phone-mobile-t1-fcc-certification-authorization)[[2]](https://www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/trump-phone-t1-first-look-report)

Trump Mobile's T1 smartphone, a gold-hued $499 device hyped as an American-made alternative since its June 2025 announcement alongside the family's MVNO service, has faced repeated delays from an initial August target through multiple 2025 postponements into early 2026, eroding trader confidence amid preorder deposits and refurbished phone sales. Recent FCC certification of a matching device, reported within hours, has sparked fresh momentum, implying trader consensus on an imminent Q1 launch as March ends. Cryptic White House social posts fuel speculation of an announcement, but historical slippage and unverified specs underscore resolution risks before any deadline.[[1]](https://www.theverge.com/tech/902399/trump-phone-mobile-t1-fcc-certification-authorization)[[2]](https://www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/trump-phone-t1-first-look-report)

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Mobile officially releases a cellphone (including the T1 or any other phone model) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. Announcements, unveilings, reservations, or pre-orders alone will not qualify. Either the T1 or any other phone released under the Trump Mobile brand will qualify. A qualifying cellphone must be a handheld mobile phone; accessories or non-phone devices will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Trump Mobile. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump Mobile's T1 smartphone, a gold-hued $499 device hyped as an American-made alternative since its June 2025 announcement alongside the family's MVNO service, has faced repeated delays from an initial August target through multiple 2025 postponements into early 2026, eroding trader confidence amid preorder deposits and refurbished phone sales. Recent FCC certification of a matching device, reported within hours, has sparked fresh momentum, implying trader consensus on an imminent Q1 launch as March ends. Cryptic White House social posts fuel speculation of an announcement, but historical slippage and unverified specs underscore resolution risks before any deadline.[[1]](https://www.theverge.com/tech/902399/trump-phone-mobile-t1-fcc-certification-authorization)[[2]](https://www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/trump-phone-t1-first-look-report)

Trump Mobile's T1 smartphone, a gold-hued $499 device hyped as an American-made alternative since its June 2025 announcement alongside the family's MVNO service, has faced repeated delays from an initial August target through multiple 2025 postponements into early 2026, eroding trader confidence amid preorder deposits and refurbished phone sales. Recent FCC certification of a matching device, reported within hours, has sparked fresh momentum, implying trader consensus on an imminent Q1 launch as March ends. Cryptic White House social posts fuel speculation of an announcement, but historical slippage and unverified specs underscore resolution risks before any deadline.[[1]](https://www.theverge.com/tech/902399/trump-phone-mobile-t1-fcc-certification-authorization)[[2]](https://www.cnet.com/tech/mobile/trump-phone-t1-first-look-report)

Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 2 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio" con 21%, seguido de "30 de abril" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 21¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 21% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?", explora los 2 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?" es "30 de junio" con 21%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 21% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "30 de abril" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump Mobile lanzará un teléfono antes de...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.