Market icon

¿Khamenei # publica del 3 al 10 de abril de 2026?

Market icon

¿Khamenei # publica del 3 al 10 de abril de 2026?

5-9 49%

10-14 31%

<5 30%

15-19 26%

Polymarket
NUEVO

5-9 49%

10-14 31%

<5 30%

15-19 26%

Polymarket
NUEVO

<5

$0 Vol.

30%

5-9

$2 Vol.

36%

10-14

$0 Vol.

31%

15-19

$0 Vol.

26%

20-24

$0 Vol.

14%

25-29

$0 Vol.

14%

30-34

$0 Vol.

12%

35-39

$31 Vol.

8%

40-44

$31 Vol.

8%

45-49

$31 Vol.

8%

50-54

$31 Vol.

8%

55-59

$31 Vol.

8%

Más de 60

$31 Vol.

7%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on @khamenei_ir posts from April 3 to April 10 closely clusters around 5-14, reflecting the account's steady low-volume pattern since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in late February, with roughly 1-2 daily reposts of past statements amid Iran's 40-day mourning period ending April 10. Recent weeks show variability, including a March 30 cluster of five posts on IRGC Navy commander Tangsiri's martyrdom attributed via new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's statements, alongside singles on U.S. decline and resistance forces in Yemen and Lebanon, averaging 7-9 for March 24-31 per tracking sites. The tight race persists due to unpredictable event-driven spikes from ongoing regional tensions, such as Strait of Hormuz disputes or proxy escalations; a quiet mourning close favors under 10, while new fronts or commemorations could push toward 15.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$186
Fecha de finalización
10 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on @khamenei_ir posts from April 3 to April 10 closely clusters around 5-14, reflecting the account's steady low-volume pattern since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's martyrdom in late February, with roughly 1-2 daily reposts of past statements amid Iran's 40-day mourning period ending April 10. Recent weeks show variability, including a March 30 cluster of five posts on IRGC Navy commander Tangsiri's martyrdom attributed via new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's statements, alongside singles on U.S. decline and resistance forces in Yemen and Lebanon, averaging 7-9 for March 24-31 per tracking sites. The tight race persists due to unpredictable event-driven spikes from ongoing regional tensions, such as Strait of Hormuz disputes or proxy escalations; a quiet mourning close favors under 10, while new fronts or commemorations could push toward 15.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volumen
$186
Fecha de finalización
10 abr 2026
Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://x.com/khamenei_ir
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between April 3, 12:00 PM ET and April 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Khamenei # publica del 3 al 10 de abril de 2026?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "5-9" con 36%, seguido de "10-14" con 32%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 36¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Khamenei # publica del 3 al 10 de abril de 2026?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Mar 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Khamenei # publica del 3 al 10 de abril de 2026?", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Khamenei # publica del 3 al 10 de abril de 2026?" es "5-9" con 36%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 36% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "10-14" con 32%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Khamenei # publica del 3 al 10 de abril de 2026?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.