Trader consensus on the NYC mayor's X posts for March 27–April 3, 2026, strongly favors low volumes, with under 20 posts at 55% implied probability and 20–39 at 32.5%, reflecting historical patterns where recent mayors average 10–30 weekly updates amid routine schedules. This week's overlap with Holy Week—Palm Sunday on March 29 and Good Friday on April 3, plus Passover starting April 1—likely curbs official activity, as seen in past holiday lulls. Eric Adams' federal indictment and trailing re-election polls (16–20% support versus challengers like Brad Lander at 25–30%) signal a probable leadership change by January 2026 inauguration, with markets pricing an unproven successor's conservative posting akin to precedents rather than high-output outliers. Key upcoming: Democratic primary June 2025.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoNYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
NYC Mayor # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
<20 55%
20-39 32%
40-59 27%
60-79 26%
$11,725 Vol.
$11,725 Vol.
<20
55%
20-39
32%
40-59
27%
60-79
26%
80-99
26%
100-119
24%
120-139
22%
140-159
11%
160-179
26%
180-199
26%
200+
26%
<20 55%
20-39 32%
40-59 27%
60-79 26%
$11,725 Vol.
$11,725 Vol.
<20
55%
20-39
32%
40-59
27%
60-79
26%
80-99
26%
100-119
24%
120-139
22%
140-159
11%
160-179
26%
180-199
26%
200+
26%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/NYCMayorResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the NYC mayor's X posts for March 27–April 3, 2026, strongly favors low volumes, with under 20 posts at 55% implied probability and 20–39 at 32.5%, reflecting historical patterns where recent mayors average 10–30 weekly updates amid routine schedules. This week's overlap with Holy Week—Palm Sunday on March 29 and Good Friday on April 3, plus Passover starting April 1—likely curbs official activity, as seen in past holiday lulls. Eric Adams' federal indictment and trailing re-election polls (16–20% support versus challengers like Brad Lander at 25–30%) signal a probable leadership change by January 2026 inauguration, with markets pricing an unproven successor's conservative posting akin to precedents rather than high-output outliers. Key upcoming: Democratic primary June 2025.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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