Elon Musk's explosive tweeting pace, averaging 25-40 posts daily in late 2024 amid political fervor and X platform boosts, anchors trader consensus around 65-114 total tweets for March 23-25, 2026, with 90-114 (29.5%) edging 65-89 (27%). This tight contest mirrors uncertainty over event-driven spikes—SpaceX launches or Tesla reveals could push toward 115+, while quieter periods favor lower bins. Historical patterns show bursts exceeding 100/day during controversies, but normalized averages from 2023-2024 (around 70-90 over three days) temper extremes like 140+, holding them under 12% combined. Traders eye his X ownership incentives for sustained volume, though unpredictable news cycles keep <40 and 240+ as longshots.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado90-114 30%
65-89 27%
115-139 19%
40-64 12%
$91,149 Vol.
$91,149 Vol.
<40
2%
40-64
12%
65-89
27%
90-114
30%
115-139
19%
140-164
8%
165-189
3%
190-214
2%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
90-114 30%
65-89 27%
115-139 19%
40-64 12%
$91,149 Vol.
$91,149 Vol.
<40
2%
40-64
12%
65-89
27%
90-114
30%
115-139
19%
140-164
8%
165-189
3%
190-214
2%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's explosive tweeting pace, averaging 25-40 posts daily in late 2024 amid political fervor and X platform boosts, anchors trader consensus around 65-114 total tweets for March 23-25, 2026, with 90-114 (29.5%) edging 65-89 (27%). This tight contest mirrors uncertainty over event-driven spikes—SpaceX launches or Tesla reveals could push toward 115+, while quieter periods favor lower bins. Historical patterns show bursts exceeding 100/day during controversies, but normalized averages from 2023-2024 (around 70-90 over three days) temper extremes like 140+, holding them under 12% combined. Traders eye his X ownership incentives for sustained volume, though unpredictable news cycles keep <40 and 240+ as longshots.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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