White House daily guidance schedules heavily influence trader consensus on full lid calls by 6:30 PM ET during March 23-28, with early published itineraries signaling lower activity days boosting "Yes" probabilities. Recent developments include President Biden's March 23 bill signings and March 25 diplomatic calls extending past typical wrap-ups, pressuring odds downward amid unscheduled gaggles or travel surprises. Historical patterns show DC-based days often lid before 6 PM, while trips like potential March 26-28 outings delay them. Traders watch live White House Correspondents' Association pool reports for real-time updates, as late briefings or remarks can shift implied probabilities rapidly before daily close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoMarch 23
29%
March 24
44%
March 25
44%
March 26
44%
March 27
24%
March 28
44%
$50 Vol.
March 23
29%
March 24
44%
March 25
44%
March 26
44%
March 27
24%
March 28
44%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the White House Press Office calls a full lid by 6:30 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only a full lid will qualify; lunch lids, intermissions, or any other press lid not explicitly listed as a full lid will not be sufficient to qualify this market towards a "Yes" resolution.
This market will resolve according to the time listed by Roll Call of the first full lid called in the daily calendar (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). If Roll Call does not list a lid time or is for any reason unavailable, this market will resolve according to Forth (https://www.forth.news/whpool).
Mercado abierto: Mar 20, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...White House daily guidance schedules heavily influence trader consensus on full lid calls by 6:30 PM ET during March 23-28, with early published itineraries signaling lower activity days boosting "Yes" probabilities. Recent developments include President Biden's March 23 bill signings and March 25 diplomatic calls extending past typical wrap-ups, pressuring odds downward amid unscheduled gaggles or travel surprises. Historical patterns show DC-based days often lid before 6 PM, while trips like potential March 26-28 outings delay them. Traders watch live White House Correspondents' Association pool reports for real-time updates, as late briefings or remarks can shift implied probabilities rapidly before daily close.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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