Republican control of the House and Senate following the 2024 elections forms the primary barrier to impeachment, as a simple House majority can initiate articles but GOP unity has held firm historically during Trump's first term. Trader consensus reflects this with "No" at 52.5%, yet the closely contested odds stem from the razor-thin House Republican majority—potentially vulnerable to defections amid controversies like Cabinet nominations or executive actions on immigration and pardons. Trump's prior impeachments add historical weight to Yes bets. Odds could shift toward No if GOP cohesion strengthens post-January 2025 convening, or toward Yes on a major scandal eroding party discipline before January 2029.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
NEW
NEW
Jan 20, 2029
NEW
NEW
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$1,512Fecha de finalización
Jan 20, 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$1,512Fecha de finalización
Jan 20, 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House and Senate following the 2024 elections forms the primary barrier to impeachment, as a simple House majority can initiate articles but GOP unity has held firm historically during Trump's first term. Trader consensus reflects this with "No" at 52.5%, yet the closely contested odds stem from the razor-thin House Republican majority—potentially vulnerable to defections amid controversies like Cabinet nominations or executive actions on immigration and pardons. Trump's prior impeachments add historical weight to Yes bets. Odds could shift toward No if GOP cohesion strengthens post-January 2025 convening, or toward Yes on a major scandal eroding party discipline before January 2029.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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