Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms, but Democratic polling leads on the generic ballot and historical patterns of the out-party gaining seats have elevated expectations that Democrats could flip the chamber. A Democratic House would control the initiation of impeachment proceedings in the subsequent Congress, directly raising the odds of articles of impeachment passing against President Trump before his term concludes in 2029. Recent developments, including Democratic calls for impeachment tied to foreign policy tensions and election-related statements, low presidential approval ratings, and Trump’s own prior remarks linking midterm outcomes to future impeachment risk, have reinforced trader views that House control is the decisive variable. Prediction markets price this path at roughly 61.5 percent for a successful House vote on articles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?
¿Trump será destituido antes de que termine su mandato?
Sí
62% probabilidad
$89,044 Vol.
$89,044 Vol.
20 ene 2029
Sí
62% probabilidad
$89,044 Vol.
$89,044 Vol.
20 ene 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms, but Democratic polling leads on the generic ballot and historical patterns of the out-party gaining seats have elevated expectations that Democrats could flip the chamber. A Democratic House would control the initiation of impeachment proceedings in the subsequent Congress, directly raising the odds of articles of impeachment passing against President Trump before his term concludes in 2029. Recent developments, including Democratic calls for impeachment tied to foreign policy tensions and election-related statements, low presidential approval ratings, and Trump’s own prior remarks linking midterm outcomes to future impeachment risk, have reinforced trader views that House control is the decisive variable. Prediction markets price this path at roughly 61.5 percent for a successful House vote on articles.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volumen
$89,044Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms, but Democratic polling leads on the generic ballot and historical patterns of the out-party gaining seats have elevated expectations that Democrats could flip the chamber. A Democratic House would control the initiation of impeachment proceedings in the subsequent Congress, directly raising the odds of articles of impeachment passing against President Trump before his term concludes in 2029. Recent developments, including Democratic calls for impeachment tied to foreign policy tensions and election-related statements, low presidential approval ratings, and Trump’s own prior remarks linking midterm outcomes to future impeachment risk, have reinforced trader views that House control is the decisive variable. Prediction markets price this path at roughly 61.5 percent for a successful House vote on articles.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$89,044Fecha de finalización
20 ene 2029Mercado abierto
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republicans currently hold a narrow House majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms, but Democratic polling leads on the generic ballot and historical patterns of the out-party gaining seats have elevated expectations that Democrats could flip the chamber. A Democratic House would control the initiation of impeachment proceedings in the subsequent Congress, directly raising the odds of articles of impeachment passing against President Trump before his term concludes in 2029. Recent developments, including Democratic calls for impeachment tied to foreign policy tensions and election-related statements, low presidential approval ratings, and Trump’s own prior remarks linking midterm outcomes to future impeachment risk, have reinforced trader views that House control is the decisive variable. Prediction markets price this path at roughly 61.5 percent for a successful House vote on articles.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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