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icon for ¿Trump será acusado por...?
Política·Trump

¿Trump será acusado por...?

icon for ¿Trump será acusado por...?
Política·Trump

¿Trump será acusado por...?

dic 31, 2027

ene 20, 2029

dic 31, 2027

ene 20, 2029

$1,022,336 Vol.

30 dic 2026
Gana un 3.25%
Polymarket

$1,022,336 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de diciembre de 2026

$1,021,636 Vol.

2%

30 de junio de 2027

$0 Vol.

50%

31 de diciembre de 2027

$700 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House has kept articles of impeachment from advancing, as demonstrated by the September 15 tabling of Rep. Al Green’s resolution charging President Trump with abuse of power over immigration enforcement actions involving ICE and CBP. Democratic leaders largely voted present rather than support the measure, citing insufficient investigative groundwork ahead of the November midterms. With Republicans holding narrow majorities in both chambers, any successful House vote would require a shift in partisan balance or an unforeseen bipartisan trigger. Traders price near-term resolutions through December 2026 at very low levels, reflecting these procedural barriers, while longer-term contracts price higher odds conditional on Democrats potentially gaining the majority and pursuing proceedings in 2027. Midterm outcomes and any escalations in border or foreign policy disputes remain the primary variables that could alter the trajectory.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$1,022,336
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House has kept articles of impeachment from advancing, as demonstrated by the September 15 tabling of Rep. Al Green’s resolution charging President Trump with abuse of power over immigration enforcement actions involving ICE and CBP. Democratic leaders largely voted present rather than support the measure, citing insufficient investigative groundwork ahead of the November midterms. With Republicans holding narrow majorities in both chambers, any successful House vote would require a shift in partisan balance or an unforeseen bipartisan trigger. Traders price near-term resolutions through December 2026 at very low levels, reflecting these procedural barriers, while longer-term contracts price higher odds conditional on Democrats potentially gaining the majority and pursuing proceedings in 2027. Midterm outcomes and any escalations in border or foreign policy disputes remain the primary variables that could alter the trajectory.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volumen
$1,022,336
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2027
Mercado abierto
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Trump será acusado por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 3 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "30 de junio de 2027" con 50%, seguido de "31 de diciembre de 2027" con 49%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 50¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Trump será acusado por...?" ha generado $1 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Trump será acusado por...?", explora los 3 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Trump será acusado por...?" es "30 de junio de 2027" con 50%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 50% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "31 de diciembre de 2027" con 49%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Trump será acusado por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.