Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Elon Musk will post 280-319 tweets from March 20-27, 2026, with those ranges leading at 11% each amid tight competition from 240-279 bins at 10.5%. This reflects his established pattern of 30-40 daily posts on X, fueled by real-time replies to critics, Tesla/SpaceX updates, and cultural memes, as seen in recent weeks averaging 35 tweets per day per SocialBlade metrics. Sentiment hinges on potential 2026 catalysts like election aftermath or AI/xAI announcements, which historically spike volume 20-50%, versus quieter periods dipping below 240. Resolution counts original posts and replies, excluding retweets, heightening edge for ranges capturing his volatile engagement style.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado280-299 11%
300-319 11%
240-259 11%
260-279 11%
$406,201 Vol.
$406,201 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
5%
220-239
6%
240-259
11%
260-279
11%
280-299
11%
300-319
11%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
6%
400-419
5%
420-439
3%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
Más de 580
<1%
280-299 11%
300-319 11%
240-259 11%
260-279 11%
$406,201 Vol.
$406,201 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
5%
220-239
6%
240-259
11%
260-279
11%
280-299
11%
300-319
11%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
6%
400-419
5%
420-439
3%
440-459
3%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
1%
540-559
1%
560-579
<1%
Más de 580
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies Elon Musk will post 280-319 tweets from March 20-27, 2026, with those ranges leading at 11% each amid tight competition from 240-279 bins at 10.5%. This reflects his established pattern of 30-40 daily posts on X, fueled by real-time replies to critics, Tesla/SpaceX updates, and cultural memes, as seen in recent weeks averaging 35 tweets per day per SocialBlade metrics. Sentiment hinges on potential 2026 catalysts like election aftermath or AI/xAI announcements, which historically spike volume 20-50%, versus quieter periods dipping below 240. Resolution counts original posts and replies, excluding retweets, heightening edge for ranges capturing his volatile engagement style.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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