Trader consensus on White House X posts for March 20-27, 2026, clusters evenly around 40-199 per week at roughly 35% implied probabilities each, reflecting deep uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election outcome and resulting communication style. Historical patterns show the Biden administration averaging 20-40 posts weekly on @WhiteHouse, focused on policy updates, while a potential Trump return could elevate volumes toward 100+ based on past high-activity official accounts. Recent polling shifts and campaign momentum keep expectations balanced, as no major scheduled events are set for that post-inauguration week. Election resolution in November 2024 or emerging diplomatic crises could sharpen odds toward administration-specific baselines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Publicaciones # de la Casa Blanca del 20 de marzo al 27 de marzo de 2026?
¿Publicaciones # de la Casa Blanca del 20 de marzo al 27 de marzo de 2026?
40-59 36%
60-79 35%
80-99 35%
100-119 35%
<20
7%
20-39
8%
40-59
36%
60-79
35%
80-99
35%
100-119
35%
120-139
35%
140-159
35%
160-179
35%
180-199
35%
200+
35%
40-59 36%
60-79 35%
80-99 35%
100-119 35%
<20
7%
20-39
8%
40-59
36%
60-79
35%
80-99
35%
100-119
35%
120-139
35%
140-159
35%
160-179
35%
180-199
35%
200+
35%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on White House X posts for March 20-27, 2026, clusters evenly around 40-199 per week at roughly 35% implied probabilities each, reflecting deep uncertainty over the 2024 presidential election outcome and resulting communication style. Historical patterns show the Biden administration averaging 20-40 posts weekly on @WhiteHouse, focused on policy updates, while a potential Trump return could elevate volumes toward 100+ based on past high-activity official accounts. Recent polling shifts and campaign momentum keep expectations balanced, as no major scheduled events are set for that post-inauguration week. Election resolution in November 2024 or emerging diplomatic crises could sharpen odds toward administration-specific baselines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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